Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park: match statistics
Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gimhae City played against Busan I'Park in K League 2 (South Korea). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Gimhae City has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Busan I'Park has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Gimhae City scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 2.50. Busan I'Park scores 2.22 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Gimhae City's games and 89% of Busan I'Park's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 78%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Busan I'Park has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.18 per game. Gimhae City takes 9.5 shots per game, while Busan I'Park takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Gimhae City leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Busan I'Park leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gimhae City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Busan I'Park, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
K League 2 games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Busan I'Park are clear favorites: they sit 2nd, have scored 20 goals this season and recorded 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Gimhae City are 17th, have 6 goals and a record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The efficiency gap is significant — Busan average 2.4 goals away with a 18% conversion rate and 4.2 shots on target per match, whereas Gimhae at home manage only 0.67 goals per match, 6% conversion and 2.67 shots on target. xG also favors the visitors: Busan’s away xG is 1.47 versus the hosts’ xG of 1.22, which combined with the higher conversion explains the larger goal output. Defensively the hosts look vulnerable — Gimhae concede on average 3.0 goals per home match and have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 games (2.4 per match), while Busan concede 1.6 goals away. Considering the superiority in goals scored (2.4 vs 0.67), efficiency (18% vs 6%) and Busan’s better form (4 wins in the last 5, 2.4 points per match vs Gimhae’s 0.4), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS is highly likely: Gimhae City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% while Busan I'Park records 100% BTTS. In the last 5 matches both teams have 80% BTTS; during that period Gimhae concedes on average 2.4 goals per game and Busan scores 2.0 on average. Seasonally Gimhae scores 2.0 and concedes 0.75, Busan scores 2.4 and concedes 1.6, combining for 4.4 goals potential and xG 1.21 vs 1.47, which confirms chance creation from both sides. Busan has 0% clean sheets this season, and the league BTTS is 65% with an average of 2.85 goals per match, so the league context also favors Goal/Goal. Based on this I pick BTTS - Yes with a probability of 85% vs 15% for No, because the visitors' 100% seasonal rate and the home signals of 75–80% plus recent goal stats clearly argue for both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Projection based on xG: home attack xG 1.21 and away defense xG 1.69 yield 1.45 expected goals for Gimhae, while away attack xG 1.47 and home defense xG 1.24 yield 1.36 for Busan, totaling 2.81. Both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (seasonOver15Percentage_home=100% and away=100%), and BTTS is 75% for the home side and 100% for the visitors, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Busan have scored 20 goals this season and have 100% of matches over 2.5; additionally, in the last 5 games the visitors average 2.0 goals while the hosts concede 2.4 on average, boosting the probability of Over 2.5 (estimate ~75%). Although the season Over 3.5 for the visitors is 60%, the expected 2.81 goals is below 3.5, so Over 3.5 is rated as moderate (≈40%), and the strongest, most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Busan I'Park have an 80% win rate this season and 80% in their last five matches, while Gimhae City have failed to win any of their last five (0%), which gives the visitors a clear advantage. The visitors led at the break in 3 of their last 5 fixtures (60%) and the hosts in 0 of 5 (0%), so a Busan lead at half-time is likely. Half-time statistics show an average of 1.0 goals for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors, but in the last 5 matches the hosts have 0.0 first-half goals vs 1.0 for Busan, which reinforces the case for the visitors’ first-half advantage. After the break Busan average 1.6 goals (vs 1.0 for the hosts) and have scored 6 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 2 for the hosts; the visitors’ xG of 1.47 vs the hosts’ 1.21 and 4.2 on-target shots vs 4.0 further confirm that Busan are likely to maintain and extend their lead. Therefore the most secure scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gimhae City | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Busan I'Park is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Gimhae City · 2.4 pts / game - Busan I'Park
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 196% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Gimhae City · 2.22 goals / game - Busan I'Park
Busan I'Park is 105% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.5 goals / game - Gimhae City · 1.22 goals / game - Busan I'Park
Gimhae City scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
Busan I'Park scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Gimhae City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gimhae City
Over / Under - Busan I'Park
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busan I'Park is 278% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Gimhae City · 1.89 pts / game - Busan I'Park
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gimhae City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gimhae City
Busan I'Park
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Gimhae City | Liga | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
The K League 2 match finished Gimhae City 0:1 Busan I'Park. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
Gimhae City score 0.75 goals per game on average and Busan I'Park 2.22. The K League 2 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Gimhae City's matches and 89% of Busan I'Park's.
What form are Gimhae City and Busan I'Park in?
Over the last 5 games Gimhae City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Busan I'Park 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park?
The statistical background for Gimhae City vs Busan I'Park — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.