Glentoran vs Larne: match statistics
As the league leaders, Larne displays impressive form with a 70% away win rate and an unbeaten run of five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). The visitors boast the league's best defense, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per away game and keeping a clean sheet in 40% of fixtures. Despite Glentoran's decent home form (60% win rate), they trail in quality; while their home goal difference stands at +7—identical to Larne's away record—the visitors possess a superior PPG (2.6 vs 2.4). xG statistics are level, yet Larne's stronger form over the last five matches (13 points vs 12 points for Glentoran) and their status as table toppers favor the visitors. Taking all factors into account, I marginally favor a Larne victory, although I anticipate a closely contested match.
Glentoran vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Glentoran played against Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Glentoran has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Larne has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Glentoran scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 0.90. Larne scores 1.68 and allows 0.41. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Glentoran's games and 27% of Larne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 36%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.54 per game. Glentoran takes 11.9 shots per game, while Larne takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Glentoran leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Larne leads at halftime in 41% and scores 1.05 after halftime.
When the teams score
Glentoran's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Larne, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Larne displays impressive form with a 70% away win rate and an unbeaten run of five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). The visitors boast the league's best defense, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per away game and keeping a clean sheet in 40% of fixtures. Despite Glentoran's decent home form (60% win rate), they trail in quality; while their home goal difference stands at +7—identical to Larne's away record—the visitors possess a superior PPG (2.6 vs 2.4). xG statistics are level, yet Larne's stronger form over the last five matches (13 points vs 12 points for Glentoran) and their status as table toppers favor the visitors. Taking all factors into account, I marginally favor a Larne victory, although I anticipate a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Larne is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Glentoran · 2.6 pts / game - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 120% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Glentoran · 0.41 goals / game - Larne
Glentoran scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 64% (14 of 22 meczów).
Larne scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / game - Glentoran · 1.68 pts / game - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Glentoran
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.62 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Glentoran's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Larne. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Glentoran vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 1:4 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Larne?
Glentoran score 1.71 goals per game on average and Larne 1.68. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Glentoran's matches and 27% of Larne's.
What form are Glentoran and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Larne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glentoran vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.