Gnistan vs Mariehamn: match statistics
Gnistan vs Mariehamn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gnistan play Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Gnistan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mariehamn: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gnistan scores 1.56 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Mariehamn scores 0.50 and concedes 2.19. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gnistan 44%, Mariehamn 38%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 38%, Mariehamn 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Gnistan has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.95. Gnistan: 12.4 shots per match, Mariehamn: 7.3.
Match halves
Gnistan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94. Mariehamn: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Gnistan: 61-75 (7 goals). Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Gnistan has a clear home advantage: they score an average of 1.86 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.49 and record 4.57 shots on target per game, whereas Mariehamn average only 0.29 goals away, xG 0.90 and 2.00 shots on target. The visitors have not recorded a single away win (win% 0) and lose 86% of away matches; in their last five fixtures Mariehamn conceded 15 goals, while Gnistan conceded only 3 in the same period. Defensively the hosts perform better — they concede 1.57 goals at home on average and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 2.14 goals away and have 0% clean sheets. Efficiency gaps are significant: Gnistan’s shot conversion is 14% versus 4% for Mariehamn, and the share of matches without a goal is 14% for the hosts versus 71% for the visitors. Based on these figures I forecast a home win and estimate their chances at approximately 78%, with 12% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 212% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.5 goals / match - Mariehamn
Gnistan is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Gnistan · 2.19 goals / match - Mariehamn
Gnistan scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).
Mariehamn scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gnistan
Over / Under — Mariehamn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gnistan is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.5 pts / match - Mariehamn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gnistan
Mariehamn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.67 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gnistan 3 - 0 - 0 Mariehamn. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs Mariehamn?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 4:2 Mariehamn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and Mariehamn?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 3, Mariehamn won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs Mariehamn?
Gnistan score 1.56 goals per game on average and Mariehamn 0.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Gnistan's matches and 38% of Mariehamn's.
What form are Gnistan and Mariehamn in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mariehamn 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs Mariehamn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gnistan vs Mariehamn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.