Gnistan vs SJK: match statistics
Gnistan vs SJK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gnistan played against SJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Gnistan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. SJK has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Gnistan scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.63. SJK scores 0.75 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Gnistan's games and 38% of SJK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
SJK has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.05 per game. Gnistan takes 8.5 shots per game, while SJK takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Gnistan leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. SJK leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gnistan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For SJK, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gnistan has a clear home offensive advantage: they score an average of 2.0 goals per match and have won 50% of home games, while SJK averages 0.0 goals away and has yet to record an away win (0 wins). The hosts register more shots (9.5 vs 8.0) and more shots on target (3.75 vs 3.33), and their home conversion rate is 21% versus the visitors’ 0% on the road, which strongly favors Gnistan in chance finishing. Defensively, Gnistan concedes 2.0 goals per home match with xG against 1.45, while SJK concedes 1.67 goals away with xG against 1.85, indicating the visitors allow a higher expected number of chances despite actually conceding slightly fewer goals. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 9 goals, but Gnistan has a better points average in that period (1.6 vs 1.4), which further supports the hosts. Considering SJK’s 0 goals scored away (100% of matches without scoring) and Gnistan’s home efficiency (2.0 goals/match and 21% conversion), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS is SJK — as away side they have an average goals of 0.0 and 0% matches with both teams scoring, indicating no away goals this season. Gnistan at home records 1.2 average goals, 60% BTTS and xG 1.98; hosts average 17.2 shots and 5.6 on target, so they create significantly more chances. SJK this season has 0.0% conversion rate and averages 8.0 shots and 3.33 on target per match, and their clean sheet percentage is 33%, which weakens the probability of an away goal. In the last 5 matches SJK improved metrics to xG 2.28 and scored 9 goals (1.8 average), so there is a real but limited chance of a visitor goal. Given the contrast of 60% BTTS for the hosts versus 0% BTTS for the visitors and SJK’s poor season conversion, I recommend "No" (70%) vs "BTTS - Yes" (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on seasonal xG: Gnistan has xG_for 1.98 versus SJK’s 1.12, and SJK concedes on average 1.85 xG to opponents, yielding estimated goals of approximately 1.92 for the home side and 1.07 for the away side (total 2.99). Seasonally Gnistan’s matches finished Over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases, and SJK in 67%, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Additionally, Gnistan averages 17.2 shots and 5.6 on target per match versus SJK’s 8.0/3.33, so the higher volume of shooting opportunities increases scoring probability. Over 2.5 has moderate chances (approx. 54%), since seasonally Over 2.5 occurred 40% of the time for the home side and 33% for the away side, while Over 3.5 is unlikely (20%/0%). Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Gnistan has a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 1.98 versus SJK’s 1.12, an average of 17.2 shots to 8.0 and 5.6 shots on target to 3.33, which increases their chance of mounting a comeback. However, the hosts often concede very early — they have conceded 4 goals in the 0–15 minute window and were trailing at half-time in 4 of 5 matches (80%), which raises the probability that SJK may have the lead at the break. In the second half Gnistan performs significantly better: they score an average of 1.0 goal after the break, have earned 11 points in second halves and average 2.2 points in second halves, winning that portion of the match 60% of the time. SJK are offensively weak away — season average away goals 0.0, conversion rate 0.0 and 0% away wins — so any lead at half-time is unlikely to hold. On this basis I assign the highest probability (38%) to the scenario in which SJK lead at half-time but Gnistan overturn the deficit and win after full-time (2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | SJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gnistan is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Gnistan · 0.6 pts / game - SJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Gnistan · 0.75 goals / game - SJK
SJK is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.63 goals / game - Gnistan · 1.38 goals / game - SJK
Gnistan scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while SJK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
SJK scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 meczów), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gnistan
Over / Under - SJK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gnistan is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Gnistan · 0.5 pts / game - SJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
SJK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gnistan
SJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | SJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.88 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gnistan's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against SJK. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs SJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 3:2 SJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and SJK?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, SJK won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs SJK?
Gnistan score 1.25 goals per game on average and SJK 0.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Gnistan's matches and 38% of SJK's.
What form are Gnistan and SJK in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and SJK 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs SJK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.