Godoy Cruz vs San Telmo: match statistics

Godoy Cruz have a clear home advantage: they have won 62% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals and conceding just 0.77. San Telmo have not won a single away match, averaging only 0.50 goals per game on the road and failing to score in 58% of such fixtures. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 13.15 shots and an xG of 1.75, compared with 6.83 shots and an xG of 0.93 for the visitors. The difference is also reflected in their recent form: Godoy Cruz have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 7 goals, while San Telmo have recorded just 1 win and scored 4 goals over the same period. The visitors’ defense allows an average away xG of 1.76, making a controlled home victory the most likely outcome.

The scenario in which both teams fail to score is more likely, as San Telmo averages just 0.50 goals per match and failed to score in as many as 58% of their league games. Godoy Cruz keep a clean sheet in 46% of matches, while the visitors average only 1.92 shots on target compared with 4.31 for the hosts, clearly limiting their attacking potential. Season-long BTTS figures stand at just 31% for Godoy Cruz and 42% for San Telmo, against a league average of 40%, meaning that historically, at least one side more often fails to find the net. The hosts should have the attacking edge, with a season xG of 1.64 compared with 0.93 for the visitors, while San Telmo's last five matches have produced an average of only 0.8 goals. Although Godoy Cruz have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, San Telmo's poor away finishing points more towards a one-team scoring outcome than goals at both ends. Therefore, BTTS - No is the stronger selection, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score—not necessarily a 0:0 draw or both teams failing to score.

The season profile clearly favors a low-scoring outcome: 69% of Godoy Cruz matches and as many as 92% of San Telmo matches finished with under 3.5 goals. The visitors average just 0.50 goals, record 1.92 shots on target per match, and failed to score in 58% of their appearances, significantly limiting their attacking contribution. Godoy Cruz average 1.08 goals, while the league-wide average is only 1.95 total goals, meaning a four-goal scenario would require a clear deviation from the competition’s typical scoring level. The last five matches for both teams produced Over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, but this does not change the fact that only 31% of the hosts’ matches and 8% of the visitors’ matches exceeded the 3.5-goal line. The estimated 2.05 goals point to a clear preference for the Under 3.5 goals bet.

Godoy Cruz have a clear advantage in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.64 compared with San Telmo’s 0.93, while the hosts average 12.23 shots per match to their opponents’ 6.83. In their last five matches, Godoy Cruz led at the break in 60% of games and scored an average of 1.0 goals before half-time, whereas San Telmo failed to score in any first half and were losing at the break in 60% of cases. The visitors have not won a single match this season, averaging just 0.50 goals per game, and finished without scoring in as many as 58% of their matches. The hosts are also more effective after the break, averaging 0.62 goals compared with San Telmo’s 0.25, which supports the likelihood of them maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely scenario is therefore a Godoy Cruz lead at half-time followed by a home win at the final whistle: 1/1.