Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: match statistics
Gor Mahia displays significantly better form and statistics compared to Mathare United. The hosts have an impressive record of 12 wins with only 3 losses this season, and their form in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) confirms the team's stability. At home, Gor Mahia wins 60% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.9, resulting in a positive goal difference of +7. Mathare United has poor away form with only a 30% win rate on the road, averaging only 0.5 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Furthermore, the visitors have secured only 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), placing them in a clearly worse situation. The advantage in ball possession (58% vs 54%), higher shot accuracy (4.67 vs 2.5 on target per match), and better xG metrics (0.86 vs 0.67) further support a confident victory for the hosts.
Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gor Mahia played against Mathare United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Gor Mahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Mathare United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Gor Mahia scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 0.70. Mathare United scores 0.75 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Gor Mahia's games and 30% of Mathare United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mathare United has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.51 per game. Gor Mahia takes 10.3 shots per game, while Mathare United takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Mathare United leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gor Mahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (21 goals). For Mathare United, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.04 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia displays significantly better form and statistics compared to Mathare United. The hosts have an impressive record of 12 wins with only 3 losses this season, and their form in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) confirms the team's stability. At home, Gor Mahia wins 60% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.9, resulting in a positive goal difference of +7. Mathare United has poor away form with only a 30% win rate on the road, averaging only 0.5 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Furthermore, the visitors have secured only 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), placing them in a clearly worse situation. The advantage in ball possession (58% vs 54%), higher shot accuracy (4.67 vs 2.5 on target per match), and better xG metrics (0.86 vs 0.67) further support a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1.4 pts / game - Mathare United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 120% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 0.75 goals / game - Mathare United
Gor Mahia is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.7 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 0.9 goals / game - Mathare United
Gor Mahia scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
Mathare United scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Mathare United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1.05 pts / game - Mathare United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gor Mahia
Mathare United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.35 | 2.04 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Gor Mahia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mathare United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Gor Mahia 2:1 Mathare United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
Gor Mahia score 1.65 goals per game on average and Mathare United 0.75. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Gor Mahia's matches and 30% of Mathare United's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Mathare United in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mathare United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.