Gor Mahia vs Shabana: match statistics
Gor Mahia presents solid home form with a 67% home win rate and an impressive 39:16 goal difference across the season. The hosts maintain an advantage in ball possession (57%) and scoring efficiency at their own stadium (1.75 goals per game), confirming their offensive potential. Shabana, despite decent away form (50% wins), features a high percentage of away draws (42%), suggesting a defensive approach. The recent form of both teams is comparable (Gor Mahia 2.0 PPG vs Shabana 2.4 PPG), but the hosts' H2H advantage on home turf and a superior goal difference (+11 vs +4) work in their favor. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Gor Mahia, though a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the visitors' defensive strength.
Gor Mahia vs Shabana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gor Mahia played against Shabana in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Gor Mahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Shabana has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Gor Mahia scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 0.71. Shabana scores 1.21 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Gor Mahia's games and 46% of Shabana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gor Mahia has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.39 per game. Gor Mahia takes 10.5 shots per game, while Shabana takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Shabana leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gor Mahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (30 goals). For Shabana, it is minutes 0-15 (22 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia presents solid home form with a 67% home win rate and an impressive 39:16 goal difference across the season. The hosts maintain an advantage in ball possession (57%) and scoring efficiency at their own stadium (1.75 goals per game), confirming their offensive potential. Shabana, despite decent away form (50% wins), features a high percentage of away draws (42%), suggesting a defensive approach. The recent form of both teams is comparable (Gor Mahia 2.0 PPG vs Shabana 2.4 PPG), but the hosts' H2H advantage on home turf and a superior goal difference (+11 vs +4) work in their favor. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Gor Mahia, though a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the visitors' defensive strength.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1.8 pts / game - Shabana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 1.21 goals / game - Shabana
Gor Mahia is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 1.04 goals / game - Shabana
Gor Mahia scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 meczów).
Shabana scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Shabana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1.38 pts / game - Shabana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (30 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gor Mahia
Shabana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.46 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 33% | 24% | • 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Gor Mahia's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Shabana. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Gor Mahia 2:1 Shabana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
Gor Mahia score 1.75 goals per game on average and Shabana 1.21. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Gor Mahia's matches and 46% of Shabana's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Shabana in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Shabana 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
The statistical background for Gor Mahia vs Shabana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.