Gorica vs Beltinci: match statistics
Gorica vs Beltinci: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gorica played against Beltinci in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Gorica has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Beltinci has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Gorica scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.57. Beltinci scores 1.76 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Gorica's games and 43% of Beltinci's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 52%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Beltinci has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.30 per game. Gorica takes 10.2 shots per game, while Beltinci takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Gorica leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Beltinci leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gorica's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Beltinci, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. SNL games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Beltinci). The 5th-placed side shows clearly superior metrics: 12 wins and 37 goals this season versus Gorica’s just 1 win and 18 goals. In their last 5 matches Gorica have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 6 goals scored, while Beltinci are unbeaten in five (2 wins, 3 draws) with 5 goals scored and only 2 conceded. The decisive advantage for the visitors is defense — Beltinci concede 0.4 goals per away match and keep clean sheets in 70% of games, whereas Gorica concede 1.4 goals at home and manage just 20% clean sheets. Quality of chances also favors Beltinci: away average xG 1.65 with 5.3 shots on target, versus the hosts’ xG 1.35 and 4 shots on target, and conversion rates of 11% vs 9%. For these reasons I assess probabilities as 60% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 10% for a Gorica win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Beltinci demonstrate a very solid defense: they concede an average of 0.4 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 70% of away matches, with a season BTTS of only 20%. Gorica have a strong home attack (avg 2.09 goals scored) and a season BTTS of 64% and BTTS 80% in the last 5 matches, but they also concede an average of 1.09 goals at home and have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games. xG comparison shows both teams create chances (Gorica xG_for 1.9 vs Beltinci xG_against 1.12; Beltinci xG_for 1.65 vs Gorica xG_against 1.16), however actual goal figures favor Beltinci’s defense. Additionally, this season Beltinci have scored 37 and conceded 16, while Gorica have 18 scored and 33 conceded, suggesting Beltinci have the edge in controlling results. As a result, the stronger signal from the available data is a 'No' for BTTS (I assess 70% for no vs 30% for yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model based on xG and seasonal averages estimates total expected goals at approximately 2.91 — 1.51 for Gorica and 1.40 for Beltinci. Gorica averages 2.09 goals per match (xG 1.90), averages 15.0 shots with 5.82 on target, and 73% of their matches have gone Over 2.5 goals; Beltinci record 1.40 goals (xG 1.65) but keep 70% clean sheets and concede only 0.4 goals on average. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.91 the probabilities are: over 1.5 goals ≈79%, over 2.5 ≈56% and over 3.5 ≈33%. Additionally the home side have 82% of matches over 1.5 and 64% of games with Both Teams To Score, which increases confidence in an early breach of the 1.5 line. Considering the expected total of 2.91 and the seasonal indicators (Gorica: 82% over1.5, 73% over2.5; Beltinci: 70% CS), the strongest signal from the data is an Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Beltinci appear to be the favorites: they have a 70% win rate this season and led at the break in 60% of matches, and they collected 22 points at half-time compared to Gorica’s 17. The visitors’ defense is compact — Beltinci concede only 0.4 goals per match on average and 0.1 goals by half-time, and they have 70% clean sheets this season, whereas Gorica concede 1.09 goals per match and 0.64 by half-time. However, Gorica create and convert chances (on average 2.09 goals per match and 1.09 by half-time, xG 1.9 versus Beltinci’s 1.65), which suggests the hosts can score, but the visitors have the edge in efficiency and defense. For that reason the safest scenario is the visitors leading at the break and winning the match — I assign 45% to 2/2, 18% to X/2 and 12% to X/X; other configurations are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Beltinci is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Gorica · 1.8 pts / game - Beltinci
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beltinci is 105% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Gorica · 1.76 goals / game - Beltinci
Beltinci is 107% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Gorica · 0.76 goals / game - Beltinci
Gorica scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Beltinci keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 meczów).
Beltinci scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorica
Over / Under - Beltinci
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beltinci is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Gorica · 1.86 pts / game - Beltinci
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 5%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Beltinci - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gorica
Beltinci
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gorica's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Beltinci. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Beltinci?
The 2. SNL match finished Gorica 2:3 Beltinci. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Beltinci?
Gorica score 0.86 goals per game on average and Beltinci 1.76. The 2. SNL average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Gorica's matches and 43% of Beltinci's.
What form are Gorica and Beltinci in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Beltinci 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Beltinci?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Beltinci: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.