Croatia - Prva HNLŠRC Velika GoricaData current as of October 07, 2026

Gorica vs Rudeš: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Gorica vs Rudeš: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gorica plays Rudeš in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Venue: ŠRC Velika Gorica.

Recent form

Gorica has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Rudeš has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Gorica scores 0.63 goals per game and allows 1.50. Rudeš scores 1.25 and allows 3.00. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Gorica's games and 63% of Rudeš's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 88%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Gorica has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.12 per game. Gorica takes 9.9 shots per game, while Rudeš takes 9.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Gorica leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Rudeš leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.13 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gorica's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Rudeš, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(4.10)
(5.40)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.63Goals scored / game1.25
GoricaRudeš
1.5Goals allowed / game3
GoricaRudeš
44%Average possession42%
GoricaRudeš
2.88Shots on target / game3
GoricaRudeš

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.88Shots per game9.13
GoricaRudeš
2.88Shots on target3
GoricaRudeš
6.3%Shot conversion13.7%
GoricaRudeš
44%Possession42%
GoricaRudeš
1.18xG for1.12
GoricaRudeš
1.95xG against1.99
GoricaRudeš

Shooting quality

Gorica: BalancedRudeš: Counter-attacking
GoricaRudeš
Accuracy (shots on target)29%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gorica is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Gorica · 0.8 pts / game - Rudeš

Gorica
LDLDW
Season result split
13% W25% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Rudeš
WLLLD
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rudeš is 98% better for: goals scored per game.

0.63 goals / game - Gorica · 1.25 goals / game - Rudeš

Gorica is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Gorica · 3 goals / game - Rudeš

Gorica scoring profile: very strong

Gorica scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Rudeš keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).

Rudeš scoring profile: strong

Rudeš scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

5Goals scored (season)10
GoricaRudeš
12Goals conceded (season)24
GoricaRudeš
2.13Average goals per game4.25
GoricaRudeš
3Goals scored (last 5)8
GoricaRudeš
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
GoricaRudeš

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal63%
GoricaRudeš
13%2 goals38%
GoricaRudeš
0%3 goals13%
GoricaRudeš
0%4 goals13%
GoricaRudeš

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
GoricaRudeš
63%2 goals88%
GoricaRudeš
13%3 goals50%
GoricaRudeš
0%4 goals38%
GoricaRudeš

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
GoricaRudeš
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GoricaRudeš
0%Scored in both halves13%
GoricaRudeš

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
GoricaRudeš
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
GoricaRudeš
20%BTTS - last 560%
GoricaRudeš

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
GoricaRudeš
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
GoricaRudeš
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
GoricaRudeš

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
GoricaRudeš
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
GoricaRudeš
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
GoricaRudeš

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorica - half-time state
0% leading38% draw63% trailing
Rudeš - half-time state
0% leading38% draw63% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.38Points per game (1st half)0.38
GoricaRudeš
0Goals scored (1st half)0.13
GoricaRudeš
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.5
GoricaRudeš
1Average goals (1st half)1.63
GoricaRudeš
38%Clean sheet before half-time25%
GoricaRudeš
100%No goal before half-time88%
GoricaRudeš

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)1
GoricaRudeš
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
GoricaRudeš
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
GoricaRudeš
1.13Average goals (2nd half)2.63
GoricaRudeš
63%Clean sheet after half-time13%
GoricaRudeš
50%No goal after half-time38%
GoricaRudeš

Gorica - second-half results

13% W88% D0% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.38
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rudeš - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.38
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gorica - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Rudeš - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.21.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.22.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Rudeš
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
6
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Rudeš

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.88
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

GoricaLigaRudeš
Average goals per game▼ 2.133.15▲ 4.25
Both teams scored▼ 38%51%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%64%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▼ 25%28%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%72%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+67%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defensive advantage
+44%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Gorica and Rudeš play?

Gorica face Rudeš on October 9, 2026 in Prva HNL at ŠRC Velika Gorica. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Rudeš?

Gorica score 0.63 goals per game on average and Rudeš 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Gorica's matches and 63% of Rudeš's.

What form are Gorica and Rudeš in?

Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rudeš 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Rudeš?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.