Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Greenock Morton play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Greenock Morton: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Greenock Morton scores 1.00 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Greenock Morton 56%, Ayr United 61%. Over 2.5: Greenock Morton 42%, Ayr United 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Ayr United has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.17. Greenock Morton: 9.4 shots per match, Ayr United: 10.3.

Match halves

Greenock Morton: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.47. Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36.

Goals by minute

Greenock Morton: 16-30 (9 goals). Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Greenock MortonAyr United
14Shots18
Greenock MortonAyr United
3Shots on target4
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.45xG1.8
Greenock MortonAyr United
5Corners6
Greenock MortonAyr United
49Dangerous attacks54
Greenock MortonAyr United
12Fouls16
Greenock MortonAyr United
2Cards1
Greenock MortonAyr United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Greenock MortonAyr United
1Goals scored / match1.06
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.42Goals conceded / match1.31
Greenock MortonAyr United
48%Average possession50%
Greenock MortonAyr United
3.22Shots on target / match3.86
Greenock MortonAyr United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.39Shots per match10.33
Greenock MortonAyr United
3.22Shots on target3.86
Greenock MortonAyr United
10.7%Shot conversion10.2%
Greenock MortonAyr United
48%Possession50%
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.17xG for1.35
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.52xG against1.26
Greenock MortonAyr United

Shooting quality

Greenock Morton: BalancedAyr United: Balanced
Greenock MortonAyr United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ayr United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 0.6 pts / match - Ayr United

Greenock Morton
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W39% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-14-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-8-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ayr United
LWLLL
Season result split
22% W42% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-15-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ayr United is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.06 goals / match - Ayr United

Ayr United is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.31 goals / match - Ayr United

Greenock Morton scoring profile: very strong

Greenock Morton scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Ayr United scoring profile: very strong

Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

36Goals scored (season)38
Greenock MortonAyr United
51Goals conceded (season)47
Greenock MortonAyr United
2.42Average goals in match2.36
Greenock MortonAyr United
4Goals scored (last 5)3
Greenock MortonAyr United
11Goals conceded (last 5)8
Greenock MortonAyr United

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal72%
Greenock MortonAyr United
28%2 goals22%
Greenock MortonAyr United
3%3 goals8%
Greenock MortonAyr United
0%4 goals3%
Greenock MortonAyr United

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal78%
Greenock MortonAyr United
33%2 goals36%
Greenock MortonAyr United
22%3 goals14%
Greenock MortonAyr United
8%4 goals3%
Greenock MortonAyr United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time17%
Greenock MortonAyr United
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Greenock MortonAyr United
19%Scored in both halves8%
Greenock MortonAyr United

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Greenock MortonAyr United
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Greenock MortonAyr United
60%BTTS - last 540%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Greenock MortonAyr United
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Greenock MortonAyr United
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Greenock MortonAyr United

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Greenock MortonAyr United
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Greenock MortonAyr United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Greenock Morton is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.39 pts / match - Ayr United

Greenock Morton - half-time state
36% leading42% draw22% trailing
Ayr United - half-time state
36% leading31% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.39
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.22
Greenock MortonAyr United
64%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Greenock MortonAyr United
53%No goal before half-time50%
Greenock MortonAyr United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)0.97
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Greenock MortonAyr United
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Greenock MortonAyr United
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Greenock MortonAyr United
44%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Greenock MortonAyr United
58%No goal after half-time69%
Greenock MortonAyr United

Greenock Morton - second-half results

22% W36% R42% P
54
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ayr United - second-half results

17% W47% R36% P
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Greenock Morton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Greenock Morton
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
9
7
16-30
7
7
31-45
3
14
46-60
7
6
61-75
7
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
9
8
0-15
10
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
10
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Greenock Morton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Greenock MortonLigaAyr United
Average goals in match 2.422.43 2.36
Both teams scored 56%48% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%44% 42%
Clean sheets 25%33% 22%
Goal before half-time 69%70% 78%
Goal after half-time 75%68% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Greenock Morton 1 - 1 - 1 Ayr United. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Ayr United FC
0 : 1
Greenock Morton FC
Ayr United FC
2 : 1
Greenock Morton FC
Greenock Morton FC
2 : 2
Ayr United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

The Championship match finished Greenock Morton 1:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 1, Ayr United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.06. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Greenock Morton's matches and 61% of Ayr United's.

What form are Greenock Morton and Ayr United in?

Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ayr United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

The statistical background for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.