Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: match statistics
Analysis of the available data indicates very even chances for both teams. Greenville Triumph occupies 10th place in the table and in the last 5 matches earned 4 points (PPG: 1.0) with a goal record of 2:5. Chattanooga Red Wolves is placed higher in 7th position and presents slightly better form with 7 points in the last 5 encounters (PPG: 1.4) and a 5:5 record. The visitors won 2 of the last 5 matches, while the hosts only once, which gives a slight advantage to Chattanooga. However, the lack of detailed home and away statistics and very similar goal records suggest that the match may end with shared points. Due to the minimal form advantage of the visitors, I slightly favor a draw with a slight lean towards a possible victory for the hosts playing in front of their home crowd.
Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenville Triumph play Chattanooga Red Wolves in USL League One (United States). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Greenville Triumph: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Chattanooga Red Wolves: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenville Triumph scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Chattanooga Red Wolves scores 1.93 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenville Triumph 36%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 57%. Over 2.5: Greenville Triumph 57%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 64%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Chattanooga Red Wolves has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.41. Greenville Triumph: 11.9 shots per match, Chattanooga Red Wolves: 12.5.
Match halves
Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Chattanooga Red Wolves: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Greenville Triumph: 31-45+ (4 goals). Chattanooga Red Wolves: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Analysis of the available data indicates very even chances for both teams. Greenville Triumph occupies 10th place in the table and in the last 5 matches earned 4 points (PPG: 1.0) with a goal record of 2:5. Chattanooga Red Wolves is placed higher in 7th position and presents slightly better form with 7 points in the last 5 encounters (PPG: 1.4) and a 5:5 record. The visitors won 2 of the last 5 matches, while the hosts only once, which gives a slight advantage to Chattanooga. However, the lack of detailed home and away statistics and very similar goal records suggest that the match may end with shared points. Due to the minimal form advantage of the visitors, I slightly favor a draw with a slight lean towards a possible victory for the hosts playing in front of their home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenville Triumph | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 2.4 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.93 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.21 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Chattanooga Red Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Chattanooga Red Wolves scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Greenville Triumph
Over / Under — Chattanooga Red Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.5 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chattanooga Red Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenville Triumph
Chattanooga Red Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Greenville Triumph | Liga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Greenville Triumph 1 - 1 - 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The USL League One match finished Greenville Triumph 1:2 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenville Triumph and Chattanooga Red Wolves?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Greenville Triumph won 1, Chattanooga Red Wolves won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Greenville Triumph score 1.00 goals per game on average and Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.93. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Greenville Triumph's matches and 57% of Chattanooga Red Wolves's.
What form are Greenville Triumph and Chattanooga Red Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Greenville Triumph have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.