Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenville Triumph play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 9 July 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Legacy Early College. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Greenville Triumph: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenville Triumph scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenville Triumph 36%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Greenville Triumph 57%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.41. Greenville Triumph: 11.9 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Greenville Triumph: 31-45+ (4 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Greenville has a clear offensive edge at home: averaging 1.67 goals per game and 5.33 shots on target with a conversion rate of 12%, while Sarasota away scores only 0.63 goals with 2.75 shots on target and a 6% conversion. Visitors often fail to score on the road — share of goalless away matches is 50% versus just 17% for hosts, and average xG is 1.62 for Greenville at home versus 1.26 for Sarasota away. The away defense is more vulnerable: Sarasota concedes 2.00 goals per away match with xG against 1.40, while Greenville concedes 1.83 at home with xG against 1.29. Recent 5-game form is similar (Greenville 2 wins, 3 losses, 1.2 pts per match; Sarasota 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 1.4 pts per match), but chance creation and chance conversion metrics favor the home side. Based on this, I forecast a Greenville win and propose probability distribution: 62% for 1, 20% for draw and 18% for 2.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenville Triumph | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarasota Paradise is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greenville Triumph is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Greenville Triumph
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenville Triumph is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenville Triumph
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Greenville Triumph | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Greenville Triumph 0:0 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
Greenville Triumph score 1.00 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Greenville Triumph's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Greenville Triumph have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.