Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Grêmio presents a decidedly better home form with 100% winning efficiency at home this season, scoring an average of 5 goals per match in front of their own fans. Atlético Mineiro has serious problems in away matches, not winning any away fixture (0% wins) and not scoring a single goal in away matches this season (FTS% 100%). The hosts possess a significantly better xG indicator in home matches (1.65 vs 1.20 xG for visitors away) and higher shot efficiency (36% conversion). Atlético also has a negative goal difference away (-1) and lost their last away match. Considering Grêmio's dominance at home and Atlético's total offensive helplessness away, the hosts' advantage is clear, although their weak defense (average 3 goals conceded at home) might allow the visitors to score a goal and fight for a draw.
Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grêmio played against Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on February 26, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Grêmio has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Atlético Mineiro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 0.67 points per game.
Scoring records
Grêmio scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 2.33. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.67 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Grêmio's games and 67% of Atlético Mineiro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 68% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Mineiro has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.16 per game. Grêmio takes 10.3 shots per game, while Atlético Mineiro takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Grêmio leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Atlético Mineiro, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 68% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grêmio presents a decidedly better home form with 100% winning efficiency at home this season, scoring an average of 5 goals per match in front of their own fans. Atlético Mineiro has serious problems in away matches, not winning any away fixture (0% wins) and not scoring a single goal in away matches this season (FTS% 100%). The hosts possess a significantly better xG indicator in home matches (1.65 vs 1.20 xG for visitors away) and higher shot efficiency (36% conversion). Atlético also has a negative goal difference away (-1) and lost their last away match. Considering Grêmio's dominance at home and Atlético's total offensive helplessness away, the hosts' advantage is clear, although their weak defense (average 3 goals conceded at home) might allow the visitors to score a goal and fight for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grêmio is 49% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Grêmio · 0.67 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.67 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Grêmio · 2 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / game - Grêmio · 0.67 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.33 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Grêmio's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético Mineiro. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 2:1 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
Grêmio score 2.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Grêmio's matches and 67% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.