Brazil - Serie AArena do GrêmioData current as of October 16, 2026

Grêmio vs Chapecoense: match statistics

Grêmio crest
Grêmio
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Chapecoense crest
Chapecoense

Grêmio vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grêmio played against Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on August 30, 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Grêmio has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Chapecoense has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Grêmio scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.35. Chapecoense scores 1.04 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Grêmio's games and 61% of Chapecoense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 52%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Chapecoense has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.24 per game. Grêmio takes 11.3 shots per game, while Chapecoense takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Grêmio leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Chapecoense leads at halftime in 4% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Chapecoense, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Grêmio have a clear home advantage: they have won 55% of their home matches and average 1.64 goals per game there, while Chapecoense have not won a single away match. The visitors score just 0.64 goals per away game, fail to find the net in 45% of such appearances, and average only 2.27 shots on target—well below Grêmio’s 5.0 at home. Chapecoense’s defense looks particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.73 goals away from home, keeping no clean sheets, and allowing opponents an xG of 2.14. The hosts are not in perfect form either, having scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, but their record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses during that period is superior to Chapecoense’s 1 win. The difference in the quality of chances created—Grêmio’s home xG of 1.55 compared with Chapecoense’s away xG of 0.96—points to a controlled home victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Chapecoense’s limited attacking efficiency, as they score an average of just 0.64 goals per match and have failed to score in 45% of their games. In the last five matches, BTTS landed in only 40% of cases for both teams, while Grêmio averaged just 0.8 goals per game during this period. Grêmio should still create chances, as their average xG stands at 1.52, whereas Chapecoense allow opponents an xG of 2.14 and have not kept a single clean sheet. The hosts therefore have a strong chance of scoring, but the visitors’ poor attacking average and low goal tally increase the likelihood of a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Chapecoense concede an average of 1.73 goals per match, while their average xG conceded is as high as 2.14, meaning Grêmio should have the conditions to score around 1.62 goals. However, the visitors are offensively limited: they score only 0.64 goals on average, register 2.27 shots on target per match, and failed to score in 45% of their games. In their last five matches, both teams recorded at least three goals in 40% of games, while their average goals scored stood at just 0.8 and 1.0, respectively. Although Grêmio matches often went over 2.5 goals (67%), Chapecoense saw over 3.5 goals in only 9% of games, making Under 3.5 goals the strongest pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Grêmio have been level at the break in 58% of their matches, while Chapecoense have done so in 55%. The visitors have yet to score before half-time and have gone into the interval without a goal in 100% of their matches, which clearly limits the likelihood of them taking the lead at the break. After the interval, however, Grêmio hold a clear attacking quality advantage, averaging 1.52 xG compared with Chapecoense’s 0.96 xG, while their opponents allow an average of 2.14 xG. Chapecoense have not won a single match this season and average just 0.27 points per game, compared with Grêmio’s 0.92. Therefore, the most likely scenario remains a draw at half-time followed by a home win at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

53Possession (%)47
GrêmioChapecoense
12Shots32
GrêmioChapecoense
5Shots on target9
GrêmioChapecoense
1.35xG3.14
GrêmioChapecoense
5Corners7
GrêmioChapecoense
34Dangerous attacks70
GrêmioChapecoense
11Fouls10
GrêmioChapecoense
3Cards2
GrêmioChapecoense

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

GrêmioChapecoense
1.04Goals scored / game1.04
GrêmioChapecoense
1.35Goals allowed / game2
GrêmioChapecoense
50%Average possession42%
GrêmioChapecoense
3.48Shots on target / game3.3
GrêmioChapecoense

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.3Shots per game12.3
GrêmioChapecoense
3.48Shots on target3.3
GrêmioChapecoense
9.2%Shot conversion8.5%
GrêmioChapecoense
50%Possession42%
GrêmioChapecoense
1.24xG for1.25
GrêmioChapecoense
1.55xG against1.88
GrêmioChapecoense

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedChapecoense: Balanced
GrêmioChapecoense
Accuracy (shots on target)31%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Chapecoense is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Grêmio · 1 pts / game - Chapecoense

Grêmio
LDWLL
Season result split
26% W30% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-10
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Chapecoense
LDLDW
Season result split
9% W35% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-8-13
0.61 pts / game · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grêmio is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Grêmio · 2 goals / game - Chapecoense

Grêmio scoring profile: very strong

Grêmio scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 games), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 games).

Chapecoense scoring profile: strong

Chapecoense scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 games), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 games).

24Goals scored (season)24
GrêmioChapecoense
31Goals conceded (season)46
GrêmioChapecoense
2.39Average goals per game3.04
GrêmioChapecoense
4Goals scored (last 5)7
GrêmioChapecoense
8Goals conceded (last 5)11
GrêmioChapecoense

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal65%
GrêmioChapecoense
22%2 goals22%
GrêmioChapecoense
9%3 goals13%
GrêmioChapecoense
4%4 goals4%
GrêmioChapecoense

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal91%
GrêmioChapecoense
43%2 goals70%
GrêmioChapecoense
13%3 goals26%
GrêmioChapecoense
0%4 goals13%
GrêmioChapecoense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time30%
GrêmioChapecoense
9%BTTS in both halves17%
GrêmioChapecoense
13%Scored in both halves17%
GrêmioChapecoense

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
GrêmioChapecoense
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
GrêmioChapecoense
60%BTTS - last 560%
GrêmioChapecoense

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
GrêmioChapecoense
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
GrêmioChapecoense
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
GrêmioChapecoense

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
GrêmioChapecoense
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
GrêmioChapecoense
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
GrêmioChapecoense

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grêmio is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.96 pts / game - Grêmio · 0.7 pts / game - Chapecoense

Grêmio - half-time state
13% leading57% draw30% trailing
Chapecoense - half-time state
4% leading57% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.96Points per game (1st half)0.7
GrêmioChapecoense
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.35
GrêmioChapecoense
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.91
GrêmioChapecoense
0.91Average goals (1st half)1.26
GrêmioChapecoense
57%Clean sheet before half-time39%
GrêmioChapecoense
65%No goal before half-time65%
GrêmioChapecoense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per game (2nd half)0.83
GrêmioChapecoense
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
GrêmioChapecoense
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
GrêmioChapecoense
1.48Average goals (2nd half)1.78
GrêmioChapecoense
39%Clean sheet after half-time17%
GrêmioChapecoense
57%No goal after half-time52%
GrêmioChapecoense

Grêmio - second-half results

26% W39% D35% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Chapecoense - second-half results

13% W43% D43% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 9%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Chapecoense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
5
16-30
4
7
31-45
8
6
46-60
4
10
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Chapecoense
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
2
10
31-45
3
10
46-60
4
6
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Chapecoense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaChapecoense
Average goals per game▼ 2.392.62▲ 3.04
Both teams scored• 57%58%▲ 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%50%▲ 52%
Clean sheets▼ 22%24%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%76%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▼ 74%78%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Grêmio's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Chapecoense. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Grêmio vs Chapecoense?

The Serie A match finished Grêmio 3:1 Chapecoense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Chapecoense?

Grêmio score 1.04 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.04. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Grêmio's matches and 61% of Chapecoense's.

What form are Grêmio and Chapecoense in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chapecoense 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?

The statistical background for Grêmio vs Chapecoense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.