Grêmio vs Cruzeiro: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Grêmio vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grêmio plays Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.
Recent form
Grêmio has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Cruzeiro has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Grêmio scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.33. Cruzeiro scores 1.53 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Grêmio's games and 70% of Cruzeiro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 67%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cruzeiro has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.26 per game. Grêmio takes 11.5 shots per game, while Cruzeiro takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Grêmio leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Cruzeiro leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Cruzeiro, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cruzeiro is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Grêmio · 1.8 pts / game - Cruzeiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.07 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.53 goals / game - Cruzeiro
Grêmio is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.47 goals / game - Cruzeiro
Grêmio scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 games), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 games).
Cruzeiro scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 games), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.40 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Grêmio's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Cruzeiro. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do Grêmio and Cruzeiro play?
Grêmio face Cruzeiro on October 18, 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Cruzeiro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Cruzeiro won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?
Grêmio score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.53. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Grêmio's matches and 70% of Cruzeiro's.
What form are Grêmio and Cruzeiro in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Cruzeiro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.