Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grêmio play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 3 December 2025 at 01:30. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Grêmio: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fluminense: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grêmio scores 1.24 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.32 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grêmio 55%, Fluminense 39%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 39%, Fluminense 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Fluminense has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.33. Grêmio: 12.3 shots per match, Fluminense: 12.3.

Match halves

Grêmio: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.66. Fluminense: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Grêmio: 31-45+ (14 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
GrêmioFluminense
16Shots6
GrêmioFluminense
7Shots on target2
GrêmioFluminense
1.86xG0.72
GrêmioFluminense
10Corners0
GrêmioFluminense
49Dangerous attacks27
GrêmioFluminense
13Fouls10
GrêmioFluminense
3Cards1
GrêmioFluminense

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.24Goals scored / match1.32
GrêmioFluminense
1.32Goals conceded / match1.03
GrêmioFluminense
45%Average possession53%
GrêmioFluminense
4.5Shots on target / match4
GrêmioFluminense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.26Shots per match12.29
GrêmioFluminense
4.5Shots on target4
GrêmioFluminense
10.1%Shot conversion10.7%
GrêmioFluminense
45%Possession53%
GrêmioFluminense
1.33xG for1.35
GrêmioFluminense
1.59xG against1.18
GrêmioFluminense

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedFluminense: Balanced
GrêmioFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fluminense is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 2.6 pts / match - Fluminense

Grêmio
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W26% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-15
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Fluminense
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W18% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-7-12
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-9
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.32 goals / match - Fluminense

Fluminense is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.03 goals / match - Fluminense

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

47Goals scored (season)50
GrêmioFluminense
50Goals conceded (season)39
GrêmioFluminense
2.55Average goals in match2.34
GrêmioFluminense
12Goals scored (last 5)12
GrêmioFluminense
7Goals conceded (last 5)2
GrêmioFluminense

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal74%
GrêmioFluminense
34%2 goals42%
GrêmioFluminense
16%3 goals8%
GrêmioFluminense
3%4 goals3%
GrêmioFluminense

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal58%
GrêmioFluminense
32%2 goals32%
GrêmioFluminense
11%3 goals11%
GrêmioFluminense
8%4 goals3%
GrêmioFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time11%
GrêmioFluminense
3%BTTS in both halves5%
GrêmioFluminense
18%Scored in both halves26%
GrêmioFluminense

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
GrêmioFluminense
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
GrêmioFluminense
60%BTTS - last 540%
GrêmioFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
GrêmioFluminense
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
GrêmioFluminense
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
GrêmioFluminense

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
GrêmioFluminense
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
GrêmioFluminense
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
GrêmioFluminense

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.42 pts / match - Fluminense

Grêmio - half-time state
29% leading39% draw32% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)1.42
GrêmioFluminense
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.53
GrêmioFluminense
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
GrêmioFluminense
1.18Average goals (1st half)0.95
GrêmioFluminense
53%Clean sheet before half-time68%
GrêmioFluminense
61%No goal before half-time55%
GrêmioFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.34
GrêmioFluminense
0.66Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
GrêmioFluminense
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
GrêmioFluminense
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.39
GrêmioFluminense
39%Clean sheet after half-time53%
GrêmioFluminense
50%No goal after half-time45%
GrêmioFluminense

Grêmio - second-half results

29% W37% R34% P
48
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fluminense - second-half results

32% W39% R29% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grêmio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
9
16-30
14
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
10
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
8
5
61-75
15
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaFluminense
Average goals in match 2.552.52 2.34
Both teams scored 55%47% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%46% 39%
Clean sheets 18%30% 42%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 66%
Goal after half-time 79%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 0 - 2 Fluminense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Fluminense
2 : 1
Grêmio
Fluminense FC
1 : 0
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

FAQ

What was the result of Grêmio vs Fluminense?

The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:2 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Fluminense?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Fluminense won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Grêmio score 1.24 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Grêmio's matches and 39% of Fluminense's.

What form are Grêmio and Fluminense in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fluminense 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.