Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grêmio played against Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on December 3, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Grêmio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fluminense has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Grêmio scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.33. Fluminense scores 1.28 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Grêmio's games and 39% of Fluminense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 39%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fluminense has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.30 per game. Grêmio takes 12.1 shots per game, while Fluminense takes 12.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Grêmio leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Fluminense leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Fluminense, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
GrêmioFluminense
16Shots6
GrêmioFluminense
7Shots on target2
GrêmioFluminense
1.86xG0.72
GrêmioFluminense
10Corners0
GrêmioFluminense
49Dangerous attacks27
GrêmioFluminense
13Fouls10
GrêmioFluminense
3Cards1
GrêmioFluminense

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

GrêmioFluminense
1.17Goals scored / game1.28
GrêmioFluminense
1.33Goals allowed / game1.06
GrêmioFluminense
45%Average possession53%
GrêmioFluminense
4.33Shots on target / game4.03
GrêmioFluminense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.14Shots per game12.47
GrêmioFluminense
4.33Shots on target4.03
GrêmioFluminense
9.6%Shot conversion10.2%
GrêmioFluminense
45%Possession53%
GrêmioFluminense
1.3xG for1.37
GrêmioFluminense
1.62xG against1.16
GrêmioFluminense

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedFluminense: Balanced
GrêmioFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fluminense is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Grêmio · 2.2 pts / game - Fluminense

Grêmio
LDWLW
Season result split
33% W28% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-14
1.28 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Fluminense
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W19% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-12
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.28 goals / game - Fluminense

Fluminense is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.06 goals / game - Fluminense

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 69% of games (25 of 36 meczów), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 meczów).

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 meczów).

42Goals scored (season)46
GrêmioFluminense
48Goals conceded (season)38
GrêmioFluminense
2.5Average goals per game2.33
GrêmioFluminense
9Goals scored (last 5)9
GrêmioFluminense
8Goals conceded (last 5)1
GrêmioFluminense

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal72%
GrêmioFluminense
33%2 goals39%
GrêmioFluminense
14%3 goals8%
GrêmioFluminense
0%4 goals3%
GrêmioFluminense

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal58%
GrêmioFluminense
31%2 goals33%
GrêmioFluminense
11%3 goals11%
GrêmioFluminense
8%4 goals3%
GrêmioFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time11%
GrêmioFluminense
3%BTTS in both halves6%
GrêmioFluminense
17%Scored in both halves25%
GrêmioFluminense

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
GrêmioFluminense
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
GrêmioFluminense
60%BTTS - last 520%
GrêmioFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
GrêmioFluminense
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
GrêmioFluminense
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
GrêmioFluminense

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
GrêmioFluminense
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
GrêmioFluminense
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
GrêmioFluminense

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Grêmio · 1.39 pts / game - Fluminense

Grêmio - half-time state
28% leading42% draw31% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
33% leading39% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.39
GrêmioFluminense
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.53
GrêmioFluminense
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
GrêmioFluminense
1.14Average goals (1st half)0.97
GrêmioFluminense
53%Clean sheet before half-time67%
GrêmioFluminense
61%No goal before half-time56%
GrêmioFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per game (2nd half)1.31
GrêmioFluminense
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
GrêmioFluminense
0.72Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
GrêmioFluminense
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.36
GrêmioFluminense
39%Clean sheet after half-time53%
GrêmioFluminense
53%No goal after half-time47%
GrêmioFluminense

Grêmio - second-half results

28% W36% R36% P
45
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fluminense - second-half results

31% W39% R31% P
50
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fluminense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
8
16-30
12
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
10
6
31-45
6
4
46-60
7
5
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaFluminense
Average goals per game 2.502.48 2.33
Both teams scored 56%48% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%45% 39%
Clean sheets 17%30% 42%
Goal before half-time 69%70% 67%
Goal after half-time 78%75% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
0.98
Away goals / game
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Raphael ClausMatches officiated: 22
4.14Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins14%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Grêmio's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fluminense. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Fluminense FC
1 : 0
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

FAQ

What was the result of Grêmio vs Fluminense?

The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:2 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Grêmio score 1.17 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.28. The Serie A average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Grêmio's matches and 39% of Fluminense's.

What form are Grêmio and Fluminense in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fluminense 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.