Grêmio vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grêmio played against Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on November 26, 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Grêmio has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Palmeiras has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Grêmio scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.31. Palmeiras scores 1.66 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Grêmio's games and 49% of Palmeiras's. The Over 2.5 rates are 34% and 49%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.28 per game. Grêmio takes 11.9 shots per game, while Palmeiras takes 15.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Grêmio leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Palmeiras leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Palmeiras, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
GrêmioPalmeiras
19Shots22
GrêmioPalmeiras
11Shots on target6
GrêmioPalmeiras
2.21xG2.1
GrêmioPalmeiras
5Corners3
GrêmioPalmeiras
35Dangerous attacks41
GrêmioPalmeiras
9Fouls10
GrêmioPalmeiras
3Cards5
GrêmioPalmeiras

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.11Goals scored / game1.66
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.31Goals allowed / game0.83
GrêmioPalmeiras
45%Average possession53%
GrêmioPalmeiras
4.14Shots on target / game5.57
GrêmioPalmeiras

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.94Shots per game15.4
GrêmioPalmeiras
4.14Shots on target5.57
GrêmioPalmeiras
9.3%Shot conversion10.8%
GrêmioPalmeiras
45%Possession53%
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.28xG for1.69
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.61xG against1.14
GrêmioPalmeiras

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedPalmeiras: Attacking
GrêmioPalmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palmeiras is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Grêmio · 1 pts / game - Palmeiras

Grêmio
LLDWL
Season result split
31% W29% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-14
1.23 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Palmeiras
WLLDD
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
21-7-7
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
9-2-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.11 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.66 goals / game - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.31 goals / game - Grêmio · 0.83 goals / game - Palmeiras

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 69% of games (24 of 35 meczów), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 meczów).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 77% of games (27 of 35 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 meczów).

39Goals scored (season)58
GrêmioPalmeiras
46Goals conceded (season)29
GrêmioPalmeiras
2.43Average goals per game2.49
GrêmioPalmeiras
6Goals scored (last 5)3
GrêmioPalmeiras
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
GrêmioPalmeiras

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal77%
GrêmioPalmeiras
31%2 goals51%
GrêmioPalmeiras
11%3 goals23%
GrêmioPalmeiras
0%4 goals11%
GrêmioPalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal60%
GrêmioPalmeiras
29%2 goals20%
GrêmioPalmeiras
11%3 goals3%
GrêmioPalmeiras
9%4 goals0%
GrêmioPalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time23%
GrêmioPalmeiras
0%BTTS in both halves3%
GrêmioPalmeiras
14%Scored in both halves29%
GrêmioPalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
GrêmioPalmeiras
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
GrêmioPalmeiras
40%BTTS - last 520%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
GrêmioPalmeiras
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
GrêmioPalmeiras
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
GrêmioPalmeiras

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
GrêmioPalmeiras
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
GrêmioPalmeiras
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / game - Grêmio · 1.34 pts / game - Palmeiras

Grêmio - half-time state
29% leading40% draw31% trailing
Palmeiras - half-time state
26% leading57% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per game (1st half)1.34
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.51Goals scored (1st half)0.69
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.17
GrêmioPalmeiras
54%Clean sheet before half-time66%
GrêmioPalmeiras
63%No goal before half-time51%
GrêmioPalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)1.89
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.31
GrêmioPalmeiras
40%Clean sheet after half-time69%
GrêmioPalmeiras
54%No goal after half-time43%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Grêmio - second-half results

26% W37% D37% L
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Palmeiras - second-half results

51% W34% D14% L
47
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding231%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Palmeiras - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.60.6
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
7
16-30
11
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
9
3
16-30
8
9
31-45
10
1
46-60
11
5
61-75
13
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaPalmeiras
Average goals per game 2.432.46 2.49
Both teams scored 54%48% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%45% 49%
Clean sheets 17%30% 40%
Goal before half-time 69%70% 60%
Goal after half-time 77%75% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
0.98
Away goals / game
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GrêmioYellow cardMarlon Rodrigues Xavier
  2. PalmeirasYellow cardAnibal Ismael Moreno
  3. PalmeirasYellow cardFacundo Daniel Torres Pérez
  4. GrêmioYellow cardFrancis Amuzu
  5. PalmeirasYellow cardLuighi Hanri Sousa Santos
  6. PalmeirasRed cardAgustín Giay

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Savio Pereira SampaioMatches officiated: 12
4.83Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 233%Home wins42%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Grêmio's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Palmeiras. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

SE Palmeiras
1 : 0
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

FAQ

What was the result of Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

The Serie A match finished Grêmio 3:2 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.66. The Serie A average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Grêmio's matches and 49% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Grêmio and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palmeiras 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.