Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Grimsby Town performs decidedly better as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The home team is in excellent form with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters, remaining unbeaten. Accrington Stanley has a weaker away record with only 29% away wins and a negative goal difference of -2, as well as a high rate of matches without scoring at 43%. Grimsby also possesses better offensive statistics in home games, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and higher expected goals (xG 1.79 vs 1.29). Given the hosts' advantage in possession (62%) and a solid defense that kept a clean sheet in 36% of home matches, I expect a victory for Grimsby Town, although the visitors' form in the last five matches (three wins) warrants caution.
Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grimsby Town played against Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 11, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Grimsby Town has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Accrington Stanley has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Grimsby Town scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.10. Accrington Stanley scores 1.21 and allows 1.03. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Grimsby Town's games and 45% of Accrington Stanley's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 34%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.45 per game. Grimsby Town takes 13.7 shots per game, while Accrington Stanley takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Accrington Stanley leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Accrington Stanley, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town performs decidedly better as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The home team is in excellent form with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters, remaining unbeaten. Accrington Stanley has a weaker away record with only 29% away wins and a negative goal difference of -2, as well as a high rate of matches without scoring at 43%. Grimsby also possesses better offensive statistics in home games, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and higher expected goals (xG 1.79 vs 1.29). Given the hosts' advantage in possession (62%) and a solid defense that kept a clean sheet in 36% of home matches, I expect a victory for Grimsby Town, although the visitors' form in the last five matches (three wins) warrants caution.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grimsby Town is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 2 pts / game - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.21 goals / game - Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.03 goals / game - Accrington Stanley
Grimsby Town scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Accrington Stanley scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1.62 pts / game - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 41%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grimsby Town
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.52 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Grimsby Town's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Accrington Stanley. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:0 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
Grimsby Town score 1.41 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.21. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Grimsby Town's matches and 45% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
The statistical background for Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.