Grimsby Town vs Barnet: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Grimsby Town present solid home form with 42% victories and a good xG advantage (1.82 vs 0.97); however, a high home loss percentage (42%) and only 33% clean sheets raise concerns. Barnet impress in away matches with 50% clean sheets and just 17% losses, making them a difficult opponent on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Grimsby: 2.0 PPG, Barnet: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), and Barnet's high percentage of away draws (42%) further supports a split of points. Given the close xG values, similar shot efficiency (both teams at 9%), and the balance between the hosts' offense and the visitors' defense, a draw appears the most probable outcome.
Grimsby Town vs Barnet: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grimsby Town played against Barnet in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Barnet has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Grimsby Town scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 1.25. Barnet scores 1.33 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's games and 50% of Barnet's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Barnet has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.61 per game. Grimsby Town takes 14.0 shots per game, while Barnet takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Barnet leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Barnet, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Grimsby Town present solid home form with 42% victories and a good xG advantage (1.82 vs 0.97); however, a high home loss percentage (42%) and only 33% clean sheets raise concerns. Barnet impress in away matches with 50% clean sheets and just 17% losses, making them a difficult opponent on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Grimsby: 2.0 PPG, Barnet: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), and Barnet's high percentage of away draws (42%) further supports a split of points. Given the close xG values, similar shot efficiency (both teams at 9%), and the balance between the hosts' offense and the visitors' defense, a draw appears the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.46 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.33 goals / game - Barnet
Barnet is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.08 goals / game - Barnet
Grimsby Town scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Barnet scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Barnet
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grimsby Town
Barnet
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Grimsby Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Barnet. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:0 Barnet. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
Grimsby Town score 1.46 goals per game on average and Barnet 1.33. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's matches and 50% of Barnet's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Barnet in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barnet 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.