Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons are in second place in the table and demonstrate solid away form with 46% away wins and an impressive scoring rate (1.92 goals per away game). However, Grimsby Town are in excellent recent form with five consecutive wins and dominate at home in terms of possession (62%). The hosts have an advantage in xG at home (1.8 vs 0.99), suggesting they create better chances, but MK Dons have a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%). Given the strong form of both teams, the high efficiency of the visitors, and the home advantage of the hosts, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw or a narrow victory by a one-goal margin. The key will be efficiency in converting chances, where MK Dons have a statistical advantage.
Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grimsby Town played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Grimsby Town has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Grimsby Town scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.11. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.93 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Grimsby Town's games and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 57%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.36 per game. Grimsby Town takes 13.8 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons are in second place in the table and demonstrate solid away form with 46% away wins and an impressive scoring rate (1.92 goals per away game). However, Grimsby Town are in excellent recent form with five consecutive wins and dominate at home in terms of possession (62%). The hosts have an advantage in xG at home (1.8 vs 0.99), suggesting they create better chances, but MK Dons have a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%). Given the strong form of both teams, the high efficiency of the visitors, and the home advantage of the hosts, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw or a narrow victory by a one-goal margin. The key will be efficiency in converting chances, where MK Dons have a statistical advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grimsby Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.93 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.04 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Grimsby Town scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1.93 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grimsby Town
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.56 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grimsby Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Milton Keynes Dons. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 2:2 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Grimsby Town score 1.44 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.93. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Grimsby Town's matches and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.