England - EFL League TwoBlundell ParkData current as of October 16, 2026

Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grimsby Town plays Northampton Town in EFL League Two (England). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Blundell Park.

Recent form

Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Northampton Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Grimsby Town scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.10. Northampton Town scores 0.50 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's games and 38% of Northampton Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.12 per game. Grimsby Town takes 15.0 shots per game, while Northampton Town takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Northampton Town leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.13 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Northampton Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.81)
(3.72)
(3.87)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.3Goals scored / game0.5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.1Goals allowed / game0.88
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
55%Average possession44%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
4.5Shots on target / game3.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15Shots per game10.25
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
4.5Shots on target3.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
8.7%Shot conversion4.9%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
55%Possession44%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.64xG for1.12
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.2xG against1.19
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Shooting quality

Grimsby Town: DominantNorthampton Town: Balanced
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grimsby Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1 pts / game - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town
WWLLL
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Northampton Town
DWLLD
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 160% better for: goals scored per game.

1.3 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 0.5 goals / game - Northampton Town

Northampton Town is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.1 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 0.88 goals / game - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Northampton Town scoring profile: mixed

Northampton Town scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

13Goals scored (season)4
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
11Goals conceded (season)7
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
2.4Average goals per game1.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%2 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%3 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal75%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%2 goals13%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%3 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time13%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%BTTS in both halves0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Scored in both halves0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
40%BTTS - last 540%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1.38 pts / game - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing
Northampton Town - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.75
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%No goal before half-time63%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.13
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1Average goals (2nd half)0.63
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
60%No goal after half-time88%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Grimsby Town - second-half results

10% W70% D20% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Northampton Town - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grimsby Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Northampton Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Northampton Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.89
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Northampton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Grimsby TownLigaNorthampton Town
Average goals per game• 2.402.48▼ 1.38
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 40%28%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%66%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Grimsby Town and Northampton Town play?

Grimsby Town face Northampton Town on October 17, 2026 in EFL League Two at Blundell Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town?

Grimsby Town score 1.30 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.50. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's matches and 38% of Northampton Town's.

What form are Grimsby Town and Northampton Town in?

Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Northampton Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.