Grimsby Town vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grimsby Town played against Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on December 13, 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Grimsby Town has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Notts County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Grimsby Town scores 1.74 goals per game and allows 1.37. Notts County scores 1.74 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Grimsby Town's games and 68% of Notts County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 63%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.30 per game. Grimsby Town takes 14.7 shots per game, while Notts County takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Notts County leads at halftime in 26% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Notts County, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

59Possession (%)41
Grimsby TownNotts County
17Shots9
Grimsby TownNotts County
5Shots on target2
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.86xG0.94
Grimsby TownNotts County
6Corners3
Grimsby TownNotts County
60Dangerous attacks31
Grimsby TownNotts County
15Fouls13
Grimsby TownNotts County
1Cards3
Grimsby TownNotts County

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Grimsby TownNotts County
1.74Goals scored / game1.74
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.37Goals allowed / game1.16
Grimsby TownNotts County
59%Average possession55%
Grimsby TownNotts County
5.05Shots on target / game4.47
Grimsby TownNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.74Shots per game10.68
Grimsby TownNotts County
5.05Shots on target4.47
Grimsby TownNotts County
11.8%Shot conversion16.3%
Grimsby TownNotts County
59%Possession55%
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.67xG for1.3
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.17xG against1.23
Grimsby TownNotts County

Shooting quality

Grimsby Town: DominantNotts County: Efficient finishing
Grimsby TownNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)34%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Notts County is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 2 pts / game - Notts County

Grimsby Town
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
37% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-6
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Notts County
WDLWW
Season result split
53% W21% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-5
1.79 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Notts County is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.37 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.16 goals / game - Notts County

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)33
Grimsby TownNotts County
26Goals conceded (season)22
Grimsby TownNotts County
3.11Average goals per game2.89
Grimsby TownNotts County
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Grimsby TownNotts County
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
Grimsby TownNotts County

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal95%
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%2 goals47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
21%3 goals21%
Grimsby TownNotts County
5%4 goals11%
Grimsby TownNotts County

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal74%
Grimsby TownNotts County
42%2 goals37%
Grimsby TownNotts County
16%3 goals5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time32%
Grimsby TownNotts County
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
16%Scored in both halves26%
Grimsby TownNotts County

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Grimsby TownNotts County
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
80%BTTS - last 580%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Grimsby TownNotts County
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Grimsby TownNotts County

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Grimsby TownNotts County
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Grimsby TownNotts County
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1.32 pts / game - Notts County

Grimsby Town - half-time state
37% leading42% draw21% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
26% leading53% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per game (1st half)1.32
Grimsby TownNotts County
1Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.32
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
42%No goal before half-time53%
Grimsby TownNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per game (2nd half)1.68
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)1
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
58%No goal after half-time26%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Grimsby Town - second-half results

26% W37% D37% L
29
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Notts County - second-half results

47% W26% D26% L
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grimsby Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game2.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Notts County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
7
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Grimsby TownLigaNotts County
Average goals per game 3.112.69 2.89
Both teams scored 63%57% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%50% 63%
Clean sheets 21%24% 26%
Goal before half-time 79%71% 68%
Goal after half-time 79%76% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew James Platt
  2. Grimsby TownYellow cardCameron McJannett
  3. Notts CountyGoalMatthew DennisAssist: Lewis Macarai
  4. Notts CountyYellow cardKelle Roos
  5. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Qamaruddin Maziar KouhyarOff: Conor Michael Grant
  6. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Jack HinchyOff: Matthew Dennis
  7. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Lewis Macarai
  8. Notts CountyGoalAlassana Jatta
  9. Notts CountyYellow cardAlassana Jatta

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 0:2 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Grimsby Town score 1.74 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.74. The EFL League Two average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Grimsby Town's matches and 68% of Notts County's.

What form are Grimsby Town and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Notts County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.