Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grobiņa played against BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Grobiņa has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. BFC Daugavpils has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Grobiņa scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 1.11. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.33 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Grobiņa's games and 56% of BFC Daugavpils's. The Over 2.5 rates are 11% and 44%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BFC Daugavpils has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.01 per game. Grobiņa takes 8.2 shots per game, while BFC Daugavpils takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Grobiņa leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. BFC Daugavpils leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grobiņa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For BFC Daugavpils, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grobiņa have been unable to score at home — averaging 0 goals per game with 100% of home matches without a goal; they average 5.25 shots per game, 1.25 on target, and their home xG is 0.67 versus opponents’ xG 1.99, translating to a home goal difference of -7. BFC Daugavpils arrive in better form: 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures, 3 wins in those 5 matches and an average of 2 points per game; away they record 1.75 goals per game with 10 shots and 4 on target. Chance quality also favors the visitors — away xG for Daugavpils is 1.21 versus 0.67 for the hosts, and shot conversion is 18% for Daugavpils versus 0% for Grobiņa, increasing their likelihood of scoring. Defensively both teams are exposed: hosts concede 1.75 goals at home on average, visitors concede 2.75 away, and away matches average 4.5 goals, so I expect an open game with goals. Considering Grobiņa’s 0.4 points average over the last 5 matches versus BFC Daugavpils’ 2.0 and the hosts’ 100% of matches without a goal, I predict an away win and estimate their chances at around 75%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BFC Daugavpils has a season BTTS rate of 100% and averages 1.75 goals scored with 2.75 conceded, strongly indicating Goal/Goal outcomes in their matches. Grobiņa has a season BTTS of 20% and averages 1.0 goals scored, but BTTS has risen to 40% in the last 5 matches and the home side were scoring only 0.4 goals on average while conceding 1.4, so they have recently been more prone to letting goals in. Season xG shows 1.71 for Grobiņa versus 1.21 for BFC, however recent xG favors the visitors (1.8 vs 0.95), suggesting BFC creates more chances in form. Additionally, the visitors’ shot conversion is 18% versus 7% for the hosts, the league BTTS is 60%, and the visitors have 0% clean sheets this season compared to 40% CS for the hosts, therefore the strongest signal from the data points to a BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG indicates 1.78 xG for Grobiņa and 1.21 xG for BFC Daugavpils, totaling 2.99 expected goals (offensive xG and opponent defensive xG averages: (1.71+1.85)/2 and (1.21+1.21)/2). A Poisson model with μ=2.99 yields P(Over 1.5)≈80%, P(Over 2.5)≈58% and P(Over 3.5)≈35%, so the strongest signal is Over 2.5. Season data support this: BFC away have 75% of matches over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, while Grobiņa at home have only 20% Over 2.5 and 40% clean sheets. Grobiņa average 13.4 shots with 5.6 on target, and BFC 10 shots with a high conversion rate of 18%, increasing the chance of converting chances. Therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the best line — a moderate edge based on xG 2.99 and BFC’s 75% away Over 2.5 rate.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor the home side: Grobiņa has a 60% win rate and a higher xG (1.71) than BFC Daugavpils (1.21), while conceding fewer expected goals (xGA 1.21 vs 1.85), indicating superior game control by the hosts. At Half-Time Grobiņa led in 40% of matches and were level in 60%, with an average of 0.6 goals scored by HT and a zero conceded HT average (concededAVGHT_home 0.0), showing first-half stability for the hosts. Matches tend to open up after the break: the average number of goals in away second halves is 3.25 (AVG_2hg_away 3.25) and away teams concede on average 2.0 goals after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away 2.0), while the hosts produce more shots on target (5.6 vs 4.0), which supports potential turnarounds post-break. Considering the 60% HT draws for the hosts, the xG advantage of 1.71 vs 1.21 and Grobiņa’s seasonal 60% win rate versus the visitors’ 25%, the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1) estimated at 34%. At the same time, the hosts’ lower shot conversion (7% vs the visitors’ 18%) and the visitors’ better form in the last five matches (60% wins) increase the likelihood of turnarounds after the break, hence relatively higher probabilities for X/2 (14%) and 1/2 (11%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BFC Daugavpils is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Grobiņa · 2 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 138% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.33 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.56 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Grobiņa · 1.56 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.67 | 2.83 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 20% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grobiņa's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against BFC Daugavpils. Games average 3.40 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 1:1 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 3, BFC Daugavpils won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa score 0.56 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.33. The Virsliga average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Grobiņa's matches and 56% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Grobiņa and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.