Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grobiņa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.68 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.14 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 36%, BFC Daugavpils 59%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 23%, BFC Daugavpils 41%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.14. Grobiņa: 9.0 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.8.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.27. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Grobiņa have been unable to score at home — averaging 0 goals per game with 100% of home matches without a goal; they average 5.25 shots per game, 1.25 on target, and their home xG is 0.67 versus opponents’ xG 1.99, translating to a home goal difference of -7. BFC Daugavpils arrive in better form: 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures, 3 wins in those 5 matches and an average of 2 points per game; away they record 1.75 goals per game with 10 shots and 4 on target. Chance quality also favors the visitors — away xG for Daugavpils is 1.21 versus 0.67 for the hosts, and shot conversion is 18% for Daugavpils versus 0% for Grobiņa, increasing their likelihood of scoring. Defensively both teams are exposed: hosts concede 1.75 goals at home on average, visitors concede 2.75 away, and away matches average 4.5 goals, so I expect an open game with goals. Considering Grobiņa’s 0.4 points average over the last 5 matches versus BFC Daugavpils’ 2.0 and the hosts’ 100% of matches without a goal, I predict an away win and estimate their chances at around 75%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.6 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.14 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.32 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grobiņa
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.23 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Grobiņa 3 - 0 - 3 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 1:1 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 3, BFC Daugavpils won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa score 0.68 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.14. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Grobiņa's matches and 59% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Grobiņa and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


