Latvia - VirsligaData current as of 23 July 2026

Grobiņa vs Ogre United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grobiņa vs Ogre United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grobiņa play Ogre United in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 27 July 2026 at 18:00.

Current form

Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grobiņa 35%, Ogre United 61%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 22%, Ogre United 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Grobiņa has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.13. Grobiņa: 9.3 shots per match, Ogre United: 10.0.

Match halves

Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26. Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.56)
(3.94)
(4.87)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GrobiņaOgre United
0.65Goals scored / match0.91
GrobiņaOgre United
1.52Goals conceded / match2.57
GrobiņaOgre United
42%Average possession43%
GrobiņaOgre United
3Shots on target / match2.83
GrobiņaOgre United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.26Shots per match10.04
GrobiņaOgre United
3Shots on target2.83
GrobiņaOgre United
7%Shot conversion9.1%
GrobiņaOgre United
42%Possession43%
GrobiņaOgre United
1.16xG for1.13
GrobiņaOgre United
1.6xG against2.05
GrobiņaOgre United

Shooting quality

Grobiņa: BalancedOgre United: Balanced
GrobiņaOgre United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ogre United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.2 pts / match - Ogre United

Grobiņa
LDLWL
Season result split
17% W35% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-11
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Ogre United
LWLWL
Season result split
13% W17% R70% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-16
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -38
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 2.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ogre United is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa · 0.91 goals / match - Ogre United

Grobiņa is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Grobiņa · 2.57 goals / match - Ogre United

Grobiņa scoring profile: strong

Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).

Ogre United scoring profile: strong

Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

15Goals scored (season)21
GrobiņaOgre United
35Goals conceded (season)59
GrobiņaOgre United
2.17Average goals in match3.48
GrobiņaOgre United
3Goals scored (last 5)5
GrobiņaOgre United
6Goals conceded (last 5)17
GrobiņaOgre United

How often they score at least...

48%1 goal65%
GrobiņaOgre United
9%2 goals17%
GrobiņaOgre United
9%3 goals9%
GrobiņaOgre United
0%4 goals0%
GrobiņaOgre United

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal96%
GrobiņaOgre United
39%2 goals65%
GrobiņaOgre United
17%3 goals43%
GrobiņaOgre United
4%4 goals35%
GrobiņaOgre United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time17%
GrobiņaOgre United
4%BTTS in both halves0%
GrobiņaOgre United
9%Scored in both halves9%
GrobiņaOgre United

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
GrobiņaOgre United
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
GrobiņaOgre United
20%BTTS - last 540%
GrobiņaOgre United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
GrobiņaOgre United
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
GrobiņaOgre United
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
GrobiņaOgre United

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
GrobiņaOgre United
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
GrobiņaOgre United
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
GrobiņaOgre United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grobiņa is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Grobiņa · 0.52 pts / match - Ogre United

Grobiņa - half-time state
17% leading52% draw30% trailing
Ogre United - half-time state
9% leading26% draw65% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)0.52
GrobiņaOgre United
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.3
GrobiņaOgre United
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)1.3
GrobiņaOgre United
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.61
GrobiņaOgre United
57%Clean sheet before half-time26%
GrobiņaOgre United
70%No goal before half-time78%
GrobiņaOgre United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.74Points per match (2nd half)1.04
GrobiņaOgre United
0.26Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
GrobiņaOgre United
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.26
GrobiņaOgre United
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.87
GrobiņaOgre United
39%Clean sheet after half-time30%
GrobiņaOgre United
74%No goal after half-time48%
GrobiņaOgre United

Grobiņa - second-half results

9% W48% R43% P
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ogre United - second-half results

30% W13% R57% P
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-23
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grobiņa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ogre United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.81.6
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals60%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-8-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grobiņa
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
11
31-45
2
9
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Ogre United
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
10
16-30
2
14
31-45
6
8
46-60
2
6
61-75
6
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grobiņa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
39%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Ogre United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

GrobiņaLigaOgre United
Average goals in match 2.172.98 3.48
Both teams scored 35%56% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 22%55% 61%
Clean sheets 22%24% 4%
Goal before half-time 61%75% 78%
Goal after half-time 70%84% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Grobiņa 0 - 2 - 0 Ogre United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Grobiņa and Ogre United play?

Grobiņa face Ogre United on 27 July 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Ogre United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Ogre United won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Ogre United?

Grobiņa score 0.65 goals per game on average and Ogre United 0.91. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Grobiņa's matches and 61% of Ogre United's.

What form are Grobiņa and Ogre United in?

Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ogre United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?

The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Ogre United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.