Grobiņa vs Riga: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grobiņa played against Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Grobiņa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Riga has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Grobiņa scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 0.83. Riga scores 3.67 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Grobiņa's games and 83% of Riga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Riga has the higher season xG average, 2.03 to 1.09 per game. Grobiņa takes 8.8 shots per game, while Riga takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Grobiņa leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.17 goals per game after halftime. Riga leads at halftime in 67% and scores 2.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grobiņa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Riga, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the clear favorite based on the metrics: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 21 goals in those games, averaging 3.75 goals per away match with 15.75 shots and 6.25 on target per game. Grobiņa at home cannot score — averaging 0 goals per match, 100% of home games without a goal and only 2 shots on target and 7.5 total shots, which significantly limits their chance-creation. The quality gap is also evident in xG: Riga posts an average xG for 1.87 away, while Grobiņa has just 0.91 at home, with a conversion rate of 24% for the visitors versus 0% for the hosts. Riga’s control of the ball (65% possession vs 45% for the hosts) and superior efficiency translate into a strong net record — Riga is +11 in goal difference away, whereas Grobiņa is -3 at home with 100% home defeats. Considering these figures and current form (Riga averaging 2.6 points per game in the last 5, Grobiņa averaging 1), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because seasonal and league indicators strongly support both teams scoring: Grobiņa has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and Riga 75%, with a league BTTS level of 61%. Seasonal goals averages are 3.5 scored and 2.5 conceded for Grobiņa and 3.75 scored and 1.0 conceded for Riga, and both teams have over 2.5 at 100%, which favors goal exchange. Quality-of-chances metrics show xG 2.36 for the home side versus 1.87 for the visitors and shots on target 6.5 vs 6.25; additionally Riga’s conversion is 24% vs the home side’s 17%, so Riga possesses real finishing power. In the last 5 matches Grobiņa averages only 0.6 goals per game and 40% BTTS versus Riga’s 4.2 goals and 80% BTTS, meaning that despite the home side’s poorer form Riga’s pressure increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 80% for Yes and 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at 3.16 (1.79 for Grobiņa and 1.37 for Riga), calculated as the average of offensive xG and defensive xG: home xG 2.36 vs away defense xG 1.22 yields 1.79, and away xG 1.87 vs home defense 0.86 yields 1.37. Seasonal indicators strongly favor goals – both teams have a season rate of matches over 2.5 goals at 100%, and BTTS is 100% for Grobiņa and 75% for Riga. Riga is in excellent attacking form (21 goals in the last 5 matches, 4.2 average), while Grobiņa has scored 3 goals in 5 matches recently (0.6), but the hosts generate many shots (20.5 on average) and 6.5 on target per game. Shot efficiency is higher for the visitors (conversion 24% vs 17% for the hosts), which further boosts the likelihood of more goals. Based on this, the best signal is Over 2.5 (pick Over), since the combination of xG=3.16 and historical 100% Over 2.5 provides a high margin of safety (estimated probability ~86%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga appears to be the favorite to lead at the break and to win: in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) the visitors won and in 4 of 5 they led at half-time, with an average of 2.0 goals by half-time versus 0.6 for Grobiņa. Riga scored 3 goals in the 0–15 minute window while Grobiņa have none in that phase (3 vs 0), increasing the likelihood of the visitors leading already at half-time. Grobiņa generate higher home xG (2.36 vs 1.87 for Riga) and concede lower xG against (0.86), however Riga compensate with better shot conversion (24% vs the hosts’ 17%) and an average of 4.2 goals scored in their last 5 matches. For these reasons the most likely Half-Time/Full-Time outcome appears to be 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Riga is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Grobiņa · 2.6 pts / game - Riga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 448% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - Grobiņa · 3.67 goals / game - Riga
Grobiņa is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.5 goals / game - Riga
Grobiņa scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Riga scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Riga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Grobiņa · 2.17 pts / game - Riga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grobiņa
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.79 | ▲ 5.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 64% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 18% | • 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grobiņa's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Riga. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:3 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Riga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Riga?
Grobiņa score 0.67 goals per game on average and Riga 3.67. The Virsliga average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Grobiņa's matches and 83% of Riga's.
What form are Grobiņa and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Riga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.