Grobiņa vs Super Nova: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa play Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 9 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 35%, Super Nova 61%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 22%, Super Nova 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.16. Grobiņa: 9.2 shots per match, Super Nova: 9.0.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26. Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-4-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict an away win ('2'). Super Nova clearly dominates in chance quality and efficiency: on average 1.67 goals per away match with 1.5 xG and 5.33 on-target shots, while Grobiņa at home averages 0 goals, 0.67 xG and only 1 on-target shot per match. Grobiņa have failed to score in 100% of their home fixtures and have a 0% home win rate, conceding on average 2.00 goals per match at home; meanwhile Super Nova concedes 1.33 goals on average away and posts a 67% away win rate. The gap in xG (1.5 vs 0.67), shot volume (11 vs 6) and conversion rate (15% vs 0%) highlights the visitors’ superiority in chance quality and attacking efficiency. Although both teams average 2 points per match over the last 5 games, the offensive and defensive metrics favor Super Nova, so I give them the higher probability of winning.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.2 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.09 goals / match - Super Nova
Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grobiņa
Over / Under — Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Grobiņa 0 - 4 - 2 Super Nova. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:1 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Super Nova?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Super Nova won 2 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa score 0.65 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.09. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Grobiņa's matches and 61% of Super Nova's.
What form are Grobiņa and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Super Nova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.