Grobiņa vs Super Nova: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grobiņa played against Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on April 9, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Grobiņa has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.75 points per game. Super Nova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Grobiņa scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 0.75. Super Nova scores 1.50 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Grobiņa's games and 100% of Super Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 75%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Super Nova has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.01 per game. Grobiņa takes 7.8 shots per game, while Super Nova takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Grobiņa leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grobiņa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Super Nova, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win ('2'). Super Nova clearly dominates in chance quality and efficiency: on average 1.67 goals per away match with 1.5 xG and 5.33 on-target shots, while Grobiņa at home averages 0 goals, 0.67 xG and only 1 on-target shot per match. Grobiņa have failed to score in 100% of their home fixtures and have a 0% home win rate, conceding on average 2.00 goals per match at home; meanwhile Super Nova concedes 1.33 goals on average away and posts a 67% away win rate. The gap in xG (1.5 vs 0.67), shot volume (11 vs 6) and conversion rate (15% vs 0%) highlights the visitors’ superiority in chance quality and attacking efficiency. Although both teams average 2 points per match over the last 5 games, the offensive and defensive metrics favor Super Nova, so I give them the higher probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal signal is strong: the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 100% for Grobiņa and 100% for Super Nova, versus a league average BTTS of 56%. However, analysis of the last 5 matches shows a divergence: Grobiņa has BTTS only 20% and scored 4 goals in 5 matches (0.8 avg), while Super Nova has BTTS 80% and scored 9 goals in 5 matches (1.8 avg), which increases the likelihood of at least one goal from the away side. Looking at xG and efficiency, Grobiņa generates on average xG 1.65 per match, and Super Nova concedes xG against 1.37; at the same time Super Nova has a higher shot conversion (15%) than Grobiņa (7%), so both teams create chances and the visitors are more efficient. Additionally Super Nova scores more goals seasonally (1.67 avg), whereas Grobiņa concedes on average 1.0 goals per match, which is another argument in favor of an away goal; nevertheless Grobiņa’s low efficiency and its 20% BTTS in the last 5 matches weaken the signal. Overall I assess that the dominance of signals (seasonal 100% BTTS for both teams and Super Nova’s strong scoring form) gives a higher probability of BTTS = Yes, therefore I propose 63% for 'Yes' and 37% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of one team’s attack xG and the other’s xG against: Grobiņa’s attack xG 1.65 and xG against Super Nova 1.37 give 1.51 for the home side, while Super Nova’s attack xG 1.50 and xG against Grobiņa 1.80 give 1.65 for the away side; total 3.16. Both teams have 100% of season matches with both teams scoring, and the season percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 100% for both sides, so I rate Over 1.5 very highly at 95%. Super Nova scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 1.8) and had 80% of matches over 2.5, and the combined expected goals 3.16 exceeds the league average 2.71 by 0.45, which lifts the probability of Over 2.5 to 75%. This contrasts with Grobiņa, who despite 14 shots per match has a low conversion rate of 7% and a season average of 1.0 goal, so there is a risk of low home productivity that dampens the chances of 4+ goals. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (my play); Over 2.5 is also likely (75%), while Over 3.5 I rate lower at 35% due to both teams having 0% season Over 3.5 and the expected 3.16 goals being below the 3.5 threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Super Nova are the favorites: they average 2.0 points per match and have won 67% of games, while Grobiņa average 1.0 PPG and have 0% wins (seasonPPG_away=2.0, winPercentage_away=67.0; seasonPPG_home=1.0, winPercentage_home=0.0). At Half-Time the visitors’ lead is pronounced — hosts score an average of 0.0 goals by the break, visitors 1.33 (scoredAVGHT_home=0.0 vs scoredAVGHT_away=1.33) and Super Nova led at the break in 67% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_away=67.0). The visitors are also more clinical in finishing (shot conversion rate 15% versus the hosts’ 7%; shot_conversion_rate_away=15.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_home=7.0), despite similar xG (xG_for_avg_home=1.65 vs xG_for_avg_away=1.5), which suggests the advantage will hold. Both teams regularly score (seasonBTTSPercentage_home=100.0, seasonBTTSPercentage_away=100.0), so I expect goals on both sides, but the strongest signal is Super Nova leading at Half-Time and winning by Full-Time. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 outcome (49%), with smaller weights for 2/X (14%) and X/2 (12%) scenarios reflecting possible second-half equalization.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.5 goals / game - Super Nova
Grobiņa is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.25 goals / game - Super Nova
Grobiņa scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).
Super Nova scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Grobiņa · 1.5 pts / game - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grobiņa
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 57% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 48% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grobiņa's perspective: 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Super Nova. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:1 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Super Nova?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Super Nova won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa score 0.75 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.50. The Virsliga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Grobiņa's matches and 100% of Super Nova's.
What form are Grobiņa and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Super Nova 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.