Poland - 3 Liga Group 2Data current as of October 16, 2026

Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: match statistics

Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grom Nowy Staw played against Bałtyk Koszalin in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 1:3.

Recent form

Grom Nowy Staw has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bałtyk Koszalin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Grom Nowy Staw scores 2.70 goals per game and allows 2.50. Bałtyk Koszalin scores 1.20 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Grom Nowy Staw's games and 60% of Bałtyk Koszalin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 90% and 50%, compared with league averages of 73% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bałtyk Koszalin has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.24 per game. Grom Nowy Staw takes 8.4 shots per game, while Bałtyk Koszalin takes 10.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Grom Nowy Staw leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.40 goals per game after halftime. Bałtyk Koszalin leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grom Nowy Staw's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Bałtyk Koszalin, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 2 games average 3.65 goals. Both teams score in 73% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Grom Nowy Staw are slight favorites thanks to their attacking output: they average 3 goals per game at home, while Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.25 goals away from home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals in the process, while the visitors have claimed 2 wins and scored 8 goals. However, the outcome remains open, as Grom concede an average of 2.6 goals at home and have lost 60% of their home matches, while Bałtyk concede just 1.25 goals away. The chance-quality data also calls for caution: Grom’s home xG is 1.33, while Bałtyk’s away xG is 1.41, suggesting that the hosts may struggle to sustain their advantage in goals scored. Even so, Bałtyk’s 2.07 expected goals conceded away from home indicate that Grom’s attack should have chances to secure a win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - Yes scenario is supported by the season-long rates of matches in which both teams scored: 50% for Grom and 75% for Bałtyk, compared with a league average of 74%. Over their last five matches, that rate rose to 80% for Grom and stood at 60% for Bałtyk; the teams averaged 3.4 and 1.6 goals scored per game, respectively, during that period. The visitors’ chances are boosted by Grom conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match recently, against a season average of 1.5 goals conceded. The hosts also have good reason to expect a goal: Bałtyk conceded an average of 1.4 goals over its last five matches and allows chances worth an average xG of 2.07 across the season. The risk for this market is that Grom failed to score in 33% of its matches, but the overall picture of recent form points more strongly towards both teams scoring.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Grom’s matches and 75% of Bałtyk’s. In their last five games, Grom averaged 3.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, with at least three goals in each match. Bałtyk have recently averaged 1.6 goals, while Grom have allowed opponents chances worth 1.63 xG per match, supporting the prospect of an away goal. At the same time, only 50% of each team’s matches this season have gone Over 2.5 goals, so the 1.5 line offers a clearer signal than the higher thresholds.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Grom went into the break level in 4 of 6 home matches, while Bałtyk did so in 3 of 4 away games. The visitors were also level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, although the hosts averaged 1.8 goals before the break over that span, so an early lead cannot be ruled out. Grom’s average of 1.0 goals scored in the second halves of home matches, compared with Bałtyk’s 0.5 in the second halves of away games, supports a home win after the break. The hosts have also won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals, while the visitors won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.6 goals. The X/1 scenario therefore has the strongest statistical backing, though Bałtyk’s 50% draw rate this season leaves a significant chance of a level finish.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
12Shots9
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
7Shots on target4
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.44xG1.08
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
3Corners2
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
27Dangerous attacks32
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
-1Fouls-1
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
-1Cards-1
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
2.7Goals scored / game1.2
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
2.5Goals allowed / game1.4
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
41%Average possession45%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
4.6Shots on target / game3.5
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.4Shots per game10
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
4.6Shots on target3.5
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
32.1%Shot conversion12%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
41%Possession45%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.24xG for1.33
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.93xG against1.82
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Shooting quality

Grom Nowy Staw: Counter-attackingBałtyk Koszalin: Counter-attacking
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
Accuracy (shots on target)55%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.590.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grom Nowy Staw is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.4 pts / game - Bałtyk Koszalin

Grom Nowy Staw
WDLWW
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Bałtyk Koszalin
WDLLW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grom Nowy Staw is 125% better for: goals scored per game.

2.7 goals / game - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.2 goals / game - Bałtyk Koszalin

Bałtyk Koszalin is 79% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.5 goals / game - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.4 goals / game - Bałtyk Koszalin

Grom Nowy Staw scoring profile: very strong

Grom Nowy Staw scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Bałtyk Koszalin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Bałtyk Koszalin scoring profile: very strong

Bałtyk Koszalin scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Grom Nowy Staw keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

27Goals scored (season)12
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
25Goals conceded (season)14
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
5.2Average goals per game2.6
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
17Goals scored (last 5)8
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
80%2 goals30%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
50%3 goals10%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
30%4 goals0%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
70%2 goals50%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
50%3 goals10%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
40%4 goals0%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

73%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time30%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
20%BTTS in both halves10%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
30%Scored in both halves20%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
80%BTTS - last 560%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grom Nowy Staw is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Grom Nowy Staw · 1 pts / game - Bałtyk Koszalin

Grom Nowy Staw - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Bałtyk Koszalin - half-time state
10% leading70% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.3Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
2.5Average goals (1st half)0.9
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
20%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
40%No goal before half-time60%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)1.1
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
1.3Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
2.7Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
40%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin
30%No goal after half-time40%
Grom Nowy StawBałtyk Koszalin

Grom Nowy Staw - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
12
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bałtyk Koszalin - second-half results

30% W20% D50% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grom Nowy Staw - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.81.6
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game3.22.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals60%60%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9
Bałtyk Koszalin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grom Nowy Staw
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
5
0
46-60
4
5
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Bałtyk Koszalin
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grom Nowy Staw

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Bałtyk Koszalin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).

Teams vs league

Grom Nowy StawLigaBałtyk Koszalin
Average goals per game▲ 5.203.65▼ 2.60
Both teams scored▲ 80%73%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 90%65%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 20%15%▲ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%80%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.65
Average goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / game
1.73
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

—Wojciech Zieliński⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Grom Nowy StawGoalWojciech Zieliński

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Grom Nowy Staw 1:3 Bałtyk Koszalin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Grom Nowy Staw score 2.70 goals per game on average and Bałtyk Koszalin 1.20. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Grom Nowy Staw's matches and 60% of Bałtyk Koszalin's.

What form are Grom Nowy Staw and Bałtyk Koszalin in?

Over the last 5 games Grom Nowy Staw have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bałtyk Koszalin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.