Grosseto vs Sambenedettese: match statistics
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grosseto played against Sambenedettese in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Grosseto has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Sambenedettese has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Grosseto scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 0.57. Sambenedettese scores 1.14 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Grosseto's games and 86% of Sambenedettese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 71%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grosseto has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.29 per game. Grosseto takes 15.7 shots per game, while Sambenedettese takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Grosseto leads at halftime in 71% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Sambenedettese leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grosseto's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Sambenedettese, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grosseto remain unbeaten after 7 matches this season (4 wins and 3 draws), while Sambenedettese have yet to win and have suffered 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have picked up 8 points, compared with just 1 for the visitors, who have conceded 10 goals in that span. At home, Grosseto average 1.75 goals and 6.25 shots on target per match, compared with Sambenedettese’s away averages of 0.67 goals and 2.33 shots on target. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.71, while their opponents allow chances worth an average of 2.46 xG on the road. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as half of Grosseto’s home matches have ended level, but the form and chance-creation numbers clearly point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Grosseto average 1.5 goals at home, while Sambenedettese concede 1.33 goals away, making a home goal likely. There is more uncertainty over the visitors, who score just 0.67 goals per away match, although Grosseto concede an average of 2.25 goals at home. Across their last five matches, Sambenedettese averaged 1.2 goals and recorded BTTS in every game, while Grosseto kept a clean sheet in 0% of their home matches. Although BTTS landed in only 40% of Grosseto’s last five matches, the hosts’ defensive frailties point to both teams scoring this time.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Grosseto’s home matches and 67% of Sambenedettese’s away matches. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored at home, while the visitors concede 1.33 goals per away game. In addition, Sambenedettese’s opponents average 2.46 xG, pointing to good scoring chances for Grosseto. The last five matches for the two teams have averaged 3.0 and 3.2 goals respectively, both above the league average of 2.57. The 2.5 line is less reliable, as Sambenedettese have gone Over it in only 33% of their away matches, making the safer Over 1.5 goals pick the stronger option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Sambenedettese were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches and did not concede before half-time in any of them. The match could turn around after the break: the visitors lost the second half in all 3 away fixtures, conceding an average of 1.33 goals after half-time. Grosseto have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.50 compared with their opponents’ 1.01, and have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches, while Sambenedettese have conceded 2.0 per game. The hosts have won 2 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have failed to win any and have lost 4, so my HT/FT pick is a draw at half-time and a Grosseto win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grosseto | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grosseto is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Grosseto · 0.2 pts / game - Sambenedettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grosseto is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
1.86 goals / game - Grosseto · 1.14 goals / game - Sambenedettese
Grosseto is 226% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.57 goals / game - Grosseto · 1.86 goals / game - Sambenedettese
Grosseto scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Sambenedettese keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
Sambenedettese scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grosseto
Over / Under - Sambenedettese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grosseto is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / game - Grosseto · 1.29 pts / game - Sambenedettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grosseto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 57%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sambenedettese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grosseto
Sambenedettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Grosseto | Liga | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
The Serie C Group B match finished Grosseto 1:3 Sambenedettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Grosseto score 1.86 goals per game on average and Sambenedettese 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Grosseto's matches and 86% of Sambenedettese's.
What form are Grosseto and Sambenedettese in?
Over the last 5 games Grosseto have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sambenedettese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
The statistical background for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.