Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul: match statistics
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guadalajara play Cruz Azul in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 03:07. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Guadalajara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cruz Azul: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guadalajara scores 1.75 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Cruz Azul scores 1.77 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guadalajara 53%, Cruz Azul 70%. Over 2.5: Guadalajara 63%, Cruz Azul 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cruz Azul has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.70. Guadalajara: 16.1 shots per match, Cruz Azul: 17.1.
Match halves
Guadalajara: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88. Cruz Azul: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Guadalajara: 76-90+ (19 goals). Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-2-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I predict a home win: Guadalajara shows strong home metrics — wins 63% of home matches, averages 2.16 goals scored per game, concedes only 0.89 goals, keeps a clean sheet in 53% of matches and has a home goal difference of +24. However, hosts have shown poorer recent efficiency — only 5 goals and 1 win in the last five matches, averaging 1.2 points over that span. Guadalajara’s advantage lies in the quality of created chances — home xG of 1.92 versus 1.65 for Cruz Azul, and 6.16 shots on target for the hosts versus 5.5 for the visitors, with possession at 59% against 53%. Cruz Azul are in better recent form (3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5, 11 goals and an average of 2.2 points per game) and rarely leave away matches goalless (only 10% of matches without a goal). Considering Guadalajara’s superiority in home defence and chance creation alongside Cruz Azul’s better scoring form, I assess the probabilities as 50% home win, 30% draw and 20% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guadalajara | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruz Azul is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Guadalajara · 2.2 pts / match - Cruz Azul
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruz Azul is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Guadalajara · 1.09 goals / match - Cruz Azul
Guadalajara scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 27% (12 of 44 matches).
Cruz Azul scores in 91% of matches (40 of 44 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Guadalajara
Over / Under — Cruz Azul
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Guadalajara | Liga | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.98 | 2.91 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Guadalajara 0 - 2 - 3 Cruz Azul. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
The Liga MX match finished Guadalajara 1:2 Cruz Azul. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara and Cruz Azul?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0, Cruz Azul won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
Guadalajara score 1.75 goals per game on average and Cruz Azul 1.77. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Guadalajara's matches and 70% of Cruz Azul's.
What form are Guadalajara and Cruz Azul in?
Over the last 5 games Guadalajara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cruz Azul 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.