Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive average of 2.33 goals per match at home, supported by a good shot conversion rate of 17%. Deportivo Recoleta, despite a 50% away win rate, shows significantly lower offensive efficiency with just 1.25 goals on average per away match and a lower xG (1.07 vs 1.63 of the hosts). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Guaraní could leverage the home advantage and higher shooting efficiency. Guaraní's goal difference in home matches (+4) and their edge in possession (51% vs 47%) further favor the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Guaraní holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Guaraní played against Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 18, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Guaraní has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Deportivo Recoleta has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Guaraní scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.33. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.20 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Guaraní's games and 60% of Deportivo Recoleta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guaraní has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.12 per game. Guaraní takes 11.4 shots per game, while Deportivo Recoleta takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Guaraní leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Recoleta leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Guaraní's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Deportivo Recoleta, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.21 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive average of 2.33 goals per match at home, supported by a good shot conversion rate of 17%. Deportivo Recoleta, despite a 50% away win rate, shows significantly lower offensive efficiency with just 1.25 goals on average per away match and a lower xG (1.07 vs 1.63 of the hosts). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Guaraní could leverage the home advantage and higher shooting efficiency. Guaraní's goal difference in home matches (+4) and their edge in possession (51% vs 47%) further favor the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Guaraní holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Guaraní · 1.2 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Guaraní · 1.1 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Guaraní scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Guaraní
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.89 | 2.21 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 56% | 50% | • 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Guaraní's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Deportivo Recoleta. Games average 3.75 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 3:1 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Guaraní score 1.56 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.20. The Division Profesional average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Guaraní's matches and 60% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Guaraní and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.