Gubbio vs Forlì: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced meeting with a prevalence for a draw. Gubbio presents a very defensive attitude at home with 78% draws in home matches and just 11% victories, making them an extremely difficult opponent to beat on their own turf. Forlì has poor form in away matches with 60% losses and only 30% wins, however, their offensive potential (averaging 1 goal per away match) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%) give them a chance for points. Recent form for both teams is average (Gubbio 1 pt/match, Forlì 0.8 pt/match), and the goal difference of the hosts (-1) and visitors (-7) in their respective matches confirms Gubbio's defensive character and Forlì's defensive problems. Given Gubbio's tendency to draw at home and Forlì's instability away, the most likely result is a split of points.
Gubbio vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gubbio played against Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Gubbio has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Forlì has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Gubbio scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.85. Forlì scores 1.19 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Gubbio's games and 52% of Forlì's. The Over 2.5 rates are 10% and 48%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.25 per game. Gubbio takes 9.6 shots per game, while Forlì takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Gubbio leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Forlì leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gubbio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Forlì, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced meeting with a prevalence for a draw. Gubbio presents a very defensive attitude at home with 78% draws in home matches and just 11% victories, making them an extremely difficult opponent to beat on their own turf. Forlì has poor form in away matches with 60% losses and only 30% wins, however, their offensive potential (averaging 1 goal per away match) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%) give them a chance for points. Recent form for both teams is average (Gubbio 1 pt/match, Forlì 0.8 pt/match), and the goal difference of the hosts (-1) and visitors (-7) in their respective matches confirms Gubbio's defensive character and Forlì's defensive problems. Given Gubbio's tendency to draw at home and Forlì's instability away, the most likely result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gubbio is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Gubbio · 0.8 pts / game - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Gubbio · 1.19 goals / game - Forlì
Gubbio is 74% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - Gubbio · 1.48 goals / game - Forlì
Gubbio scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Forlì scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Gubbio · 1.24 pts / game - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gubbio
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.65 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 37% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Gubbio's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Forlì. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 2:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Forlì?
Gubbio score 0.80 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.19. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Gubbio's matches and 52% of Forlì's.
What form are Gubbio and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Forlì 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.