Gubbio vs Perugia: match statistics
Gubbio vs Perugia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gubbio played against Perugia in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stadio Pietro Barbetti. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Gubbio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Perugia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Gubbio scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.86. Perugia scores 0.86 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Gubbio's games and 29% of Perugia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Perugia has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.19 per game. Gubbio takes 8.9 shots per game, while Perugia takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Gubbio leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Perugia leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gubbio's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Perugia, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gubbio have the home advantage: they average 1.33 goals at home, while Perugia score just 0.67 goals away and have failed to win any of their 3 such matches. The visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away games, and their shot conversion rate is 5%, compared with 11% for the hosts at home. Perugia’s defense also gives opponents opportunities, conceding an average of 2.33 goals away; Gubbio concede 1.67 goals at home, so their advantage is not beyond doubt. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have scored 8 goals and earned 7 points, while the visitors have scored 3 goals and earned 6 points. Although Perugia’s away xG is 1.55, close to Gubbio’s home xG of 1.50, the difference in converting chances favors the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring concerns Perugia: they have failed to score in 67% of their matches, with an average of just 0.67 goals. Gubbio have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games, further increasing the likelihood that the visitors will fail to find the net. In their last five matches, Perugia averaged 0.6 goals, and BTTS - Yes landed in just 20% of their games, compared with 60% of Gubbio’s. On the other hand, Perugia’s xG of 1.55 shows they can create chances, so a goal from the visitors cannot be ruled out. Despite this, their poor finishing and season-long BTTS rates—33% for Perugia and 25% for Gubbio—support the BTTS - No pick. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Gubbio average 1.0 goals at home, while Perugia concede as many as 2.33 goals away, giving the hosts a clear attacking edge. However, the visitors score just 0.67 goals away and have failed to score in 67% of those matches, so their contribution to the total may be limited. Although at least 3 goals were scored in 67% of Perugia’s away matches, the 3.5-goal line was not cleared in any of Gubbio’s home matches and in only 33% of Perugia’s away games. The projected total of 2.55 goals offers the strongest edge on Under 3.5 goals, with an estimated probability of 75%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Gubbio were level at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches, while Perugia averaged just 0.33 first-half goals away from home. The balance should shift towards the hosts after the break, as Perugia conceded an average of 2.0 goals in the second halves of their away matches and lost all 3 of those halves. Gubbio conceded just 0.25 goals on average in second halves at home, reducing the visitors’ chances of a turnaround. The case for a home win at full time is also supported by the results: Gubbio won 3 of 4 home matches, while Perugia failed to win any of their 3 away games. The sample is small, but the combination of frequent half-time draws and Perugia’s clear second-half weakness points most strongly to the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gubbio is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Gubbio · 1.2 pts / game - Perugia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gubbio is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Gubbio · 0.86 goals / game - Perugia
Perugia is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.86 goals / game - Gubbio · 1.57 goals / game - Perugia
Gubbio scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
Perugia scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Perugia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Perugia is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Gubbio · 1.29 pts / game - Perugia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gubbio
Perugia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.14 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gubbio's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Perugia. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Perugia?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 1:3 Perugia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gubbio and Perugia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1, Perugia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Perugia?
Gubbio score 1.29 goals per game on average and Perugia 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Gubbio's matches and 29% of Perugia's.
What form are Gubbio and Perugia in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Perugia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Perugia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gubbio vs Perugia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.