Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Guingamp displays solid home form with a 45% win rate at their stadium and a goal difference of 0 in home matches, alongside excellent recent form (3 wins in their last 5 matches overall). Saint-Étienne occupies a higher position in the table (4th place), but their away form is somewhat uncertain (45% wins, but a negative goal difference of -1 on the road). A key factor is Saint-Étienne's advantage in ball possession (59% vs 56%) and the teams' similar xG metrics (1.44 for Guingamp vs 1.43 for Saint-Étienne). The visitors' recent form (1.4 PPG) is weaker than the hosts' (2.0 PPG), which, coupled with the home crowd support, could tip the scales towards a draw. Considering all factors, the most probable outcome is a draw, with a slight edge for the hosts due to their better current form and home advantage.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Guingamp played against Saint-Étienne in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Guingamp has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Saint-Étienne has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Guingamp scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Saint-Étienne scores 1.68 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Guingamp's games and 45% of Saint-Étienne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 55%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Saint-Étienne has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.33 per game. Guingamp takes 11.9 shots per game, while Saint-Étienne takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Guingamp leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Saint-Étienne leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Guingamp's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Saint-Étienne, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Guingamp displays solid home form with a 45% win rate at their stadium and a goal difference of 0 in home matches, alongside excellent recent form (3 wins in their last 5 matches overall). Saint-Étienne occupies a higher position in the table (4th place), but their away form is somewhat uncertain (45% wins, but a negative goal difference of -1 on the road). A key factor is Saint-Étienne's advantage in ball possession (59% vs 56%) and the teams' similar xG metrics (1.44 for Guingamp vs 1.43 for Saint-Étienne). The visitors' recent form (1.4 PPG) is weaker than the hosts' (2.0 PPG), which, coupled with the home crowd support, could tip the scales towards a draw. Considering all factors, the most probable outcome is a draw, with a slight edge for the hosts due to their better current form and home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Guingamp | Saint-Étienne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guingamp is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Guingamp · 1.4 pts / game - Saint-Étienne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saint-Étienne is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Guingamp · 1.68 goals / game - Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Guingamp · 1.23 goals / game - Saint-Étienne
Guingamp scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Saint-Étienne keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
Saint-Étienne scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guingamp
Over / Under - Saint-Étienne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Saint-Étienne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Guingamp
Saint-Étienne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Guingamp | Liga | Saint-Étienne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Guingamp's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Saint-Étienne. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
The Ligue 2 match finished Guingamp 1:2 Saint-Étienne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Guingamp score 1.50 goals per game on average and Saint-Étienne 1.68. The Ligue 2 average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Guingamp's matches and 45% of Saint-Étienne's.
What form are Guingamp and Saint-Étienne in?
Over the last 5 games Guingamp have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Saint-Étienne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.