Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: match statistics
Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gwangju played against Bucheon 1995 in K League 1 (South Korea). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Gwangju has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bucheon 1995 has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Gwangju scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.83. Bucheon 1995 scores 0.83 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Gwangju's games and 50% of Bucheon 1995's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bucheon 1995 has the higher season xG average, 1.12 to 1.00 per game. Gwangju takes 8.0 shots per game, while Bucheon 1995 takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Gwangju leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Bucheon 1995 leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gwangju's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Bucheon 1995, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
K League 1 games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Gwangju averages 1.5 goals per home match and registers 3.5 shots on target with a 25% conversion rate, whereas Bucheon averages 1.0 goals away and 2.0 shots on target with a 13% conversion. In the last five matches the hosts scored 4 goals and average 1.0 point per game, while the visitors scored only 2 goals and 0.6 points, which gives Gwangju an offensive edge. At the same time Gwangju conceded 11 goals in their last five games and their average xG against in home matches is 2.18, so their defense can be exposed; Bucheon also have 67% of away games without scoring and lower away xG (1.02). Considering the higher home efficiency of the hosts (25% conversion, 50% home clean sheets) and the better points return in the last five matches, I expect a narrow Gwangju victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis points toward a higher probability of a BTTS - Yes scenario: Gwangju has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% versus Bucheon’s 33%, while the league BTTS level sits at 56%, generally favoring both teams scoring. The home side conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match) and has had an opponent xG of 2.01 over that span, indicating vulnerability to conceding. Bucheon scored only 2 goals in their last five fixtures (0.4 per match) but generated an average of 1.13 xG in that period and seasonally posts xG_for 1.02 with a conversion rate of 13%, so they realistically create chances they can convert. Additionally, Gwangju produces 1.21 xG seasonally and averages 3.0 shots on target per match versus Bucheon’s 2.0, giving the hosts a realistic chance to score at least one goal. Based on this, I tip BTTS - Yes at 62% probability versus 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculated expected goals: home 1.22 (home xG 1.21 and xG against visitors 1.22), away 1.30 (away xG 1.02 and xG against hosts 1.59), totaling 2.52 expected goals. A Poisson approximation with λ=2.52 yields probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈72%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈46%, and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈25%. This season Gwangju has 67% of matches with over 1.5 goals, while Bucheon 33%; in the last 5 matches Gwangju had Over 2.5 in 60% of games, Bucheon only 20%. Gwangju concedes on average 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches, and Bucheon scores on average 1.0 goal this season, which combined with the higher home xG increases the goal risk. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams frequently draw at half-time: Gwangju had a half-time draw in 100% of their matches this season (3/3), Bucheon in 67% (2/3), and in the last 5 matches the half-time draw rates were 60% for Gwangju and 80% for Bucheon. The visitors are stronger after the break — Bucheon earned 5 points in second halves (an average of 1.67 points) versus 2 points for Gwangju (an average of 0.67), and the average goals scored after the break are 0.67 for Bucheon compared to 0.33 for the hosts. Quality-of-chance statistics show Gwangju has an xG of 1.21 but concedes an xG of 1.59, while Bucheon has an xG of 1.02 and concedes 1.22, indicating weaker defense from the home side and better execution by the visitors (shot conversion 13% vs 7%). Bucheon also has a higher season win percentage (33% vs 0% for Gwangju), therefore the most likely and strongest signal is a half-time draw and an away win by full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gwangju | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gwangju is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Gwangju · 0.6 pts / game - Bucheon 1995
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bucheon 1995 is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - Gwangju · 0.83 goals / game - Bucheon 1995
Bucheon 1995 is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.83 goals / game - Gwangju · 1 goals / game - Bucheon 1995
Gwangju scores in 33% of games (2 of 6 meczów), while Bucheon 1995 keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
Bucheon 1995 scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gwangju
Over / Under - Bucheon 1995
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bucheon 1995 is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Gwangju · 0.83 pts / game - Bucheon 1995
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gwangju - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bucheon 1995 - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gwangju
Bucheon 1995
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Gwangju | Liga | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 32% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 0:1 Bucheon 1995. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
Gwangju score 0.67 goals per game on average and Bucheon 1995 0.83. The K League 1 average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gwangju's matches and 50% of Bucheon 1995's.
What form are Gwangju and Bucheon 1995 in?
Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bucheon 1995 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.