Gwangju vs Incheon United: match statistics
Gwangju displays better form in the last five matches with 1.4 points per game and a streak of lwwld, while Incheon United achieves just 0.8 points per game with a form of wdlll. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, evidencing their solid standing, whereas the guests sit in 10th. Gwangju remains unbeaten at home this season (0 losses), while Incheon United has already recorded an away defeat. The goal difference for both teams in the last five matches is similar (4:3 for Gwangju, 5:5 for Incheon), but home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts. Considering all factors, Gwangju has a clear advantage, although Incheon United may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Gwangju vs Incheon United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gwangju play Incheon United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 08:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Gwangju: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Incheon United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gwangju scores 0.53 and concedes 2.26 goals per match. Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gwangju 37%, Incheon United 47%. Over 2.5: Gwangju 47%, Incheon United 53%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Incheon United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.02. Gwangju: 8.0 shots per match, Incheon United: 11.1.
Match halves
Gwangju: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.37. Incheon United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Gwangju: 46-60 (3 goals). Incheon United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Gwangju displays better form in the last five matches with 1.4 points per game and a streak of lwwld, while Incheon United achieves just 0.8 points per game with a form of wdlll. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, evidencing their solid standing, whereas the guests sit in 10th. Gwangju remains unbeaten at home this season (0 losses), while Incheon United has already recorded an away defeat. The goal difference for both teams in the last five matches is similar (4:3 for Gwangju, 5:5 for Incheon), but home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts. Considering all factors, Gwangju has a clear advantage, although Incheon United may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gwangju | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Incheon United is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Gwangju · 1.8 pts / match - Incheon United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Incheon United is 138% better for: goals scored per match.
0.53 goals / match - Gwangju · 1.26 goals / match - Incheon United
Incheon United is 115% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.26 goals / match - Gwangju · 1.05 goals / match - Incheon United
Gwangju scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Incheon United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gwangju
Over / Under — Incheon United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Incheon United is 168% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.53 pts / match - Gwangju · 1.42 pts / match - Incheon United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gwangju - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Incheon United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gwangju
Incheon United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Gwangju | Liga | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.31 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gwangju 0 - 0 - 1 Incheon United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gwangju vs Incheon United?
The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 3:2 Incheon United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Incheon United?
Gwangju score 0.53 goals per game on average and Incheon United 1.26. The K League 1 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Gwangju's matches and 47% of Incheon United's.
What form are Gwangju and Incheon United in?
Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Incheon United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Incheon United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gwangju vs Incheon United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.