Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers: match statistics
Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gwangju played against Pohang Steelers in K League 1 (South Korea). The game was played on July 11, 2026. Venue: Gwangju World Cup Stadium. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Gwangju has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Pohang Steelers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Gwangju scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 2.38. Pohang Steelers scores 0.94 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Gwangju's games and 31% of Pohang Steelers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 13%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pohang Steelers has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.01 per game. Gwangju takes 7.8 shots per game, while Pohang Steelers takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Gwangju leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Pohang Steelers leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gwangju's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Pohang Steelers, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
K League 1 games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pohang is the clear favorite: they sit 5th vs Gwangju’s 12th and have 15 goals scored this season against 14 conceded, while the home side have only 8 goals and as many as 38 conceded, which translates to a significant goal-difference advantage for the visitors. The gap in form is evident: in the last 5 matches Pohang scored 7 goals and recorded 3 wins, averaging 2.0 points per game, whereas Gwangju have scored only 1 goal, have no wins and average 0.4 points per game. Quality-of-chances analysis shows xG 1.32 for Pohang vs 1.08 for Gwangju, with hosts having xG against of 2.03 and visitors only 1.48, suggesting Gwangju allows opponents more clear chances. Visitors average 10.25 shots (3.75 on target) with a conversion rate of 13%, while hosts average 8.13 shots (2.75 on target) with a 9% conversion; additionally, Gwangju failed to score in 63% of home matches versus only 13% of such away performances for Pohang. Considering the advantage in efficiency (15 vs 8 goals), the visitors’ better defense (14 vs 38 conceded) and form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game), I predict an away win (2) with probability 70%, draw 20% and home win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "No" scenario (no BTTS): Gwangju at home has a season BTTS rate of only 13% and 20% in the last 5 matches, while Pohang as an away side has 50% BTTS for the season and 40% in the last 5. Gwangju averages 0.5 goals at home this season and only 0.2 in the last 5, whereas Pohang scores 1.38 on average as a visitor and 1.4 in the last 5, so Pohang is most likely to be the only team scoring. Although Gwangju's home xG is 1.45 versus Pohang's xG against of 1.48 (indicating similar chances created), Gwangju's low conversion rate of 4% versus Pohang's 13% suggests Gwangju fails to convert chances into goals. Additionally, Gwangju has 50% clean sheets at home and Pohang 38% clean sheets away, which reinforces the likelihood of matches without both teams scoring. Considering these figures and the league BTTS level of 49%, I estimate the probability of No BTTS at about 70% versus 30% for BTTS and tip 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG both teams produce a baseline forecast: home xG 1.45 and xG against 1.48 yield 1.47 expected goals for Gwangju, while away xG 1.32 and xG against home 1.08 yield 1.20 for Pohang. However, Gwangju significantly underperforms their chance volume — season average goals scored 0.5 and conversion rate just 4% (versus 13% for Pohang) — so the weighted home forecast is reduced to 0.79, while the visitors are projected at 1.29 goals. The total expected is 2.08 goals (below the league average 2.3), which in the probabilistic model translates to over 1.5 ≈62%, over 2.5 ≈35% and over 3.5 ≈16%. Additionally, Gwangju have 0% of home matches over 2.5 this season, yet conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game) — this raises the opponent goal risk but their own low scoring output weakens the over signal. For these reasons the strongest and most justified pick is the under at the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pohang is clearly stronger on the numbers: average goals per match 2.50 versus 1.13 for Gwangju, and the season away average goals is 1.38 compared to 0.50 for the home side, with an average of 1.75 points per match for Pohang versus 1.38 for Gwangju. At Half-Time a draw is more likely — the visitors record a draw at the break in 63% of matches while the home team does so in 38% (drawingAtHTPercentage_away 63 vs 38), and first-half goal averages are low (scoredAVGHT_home 0.25 vs scoredAVGHT_away 0.38). In the second half the advantage lies with the visitors: Pohang averages 1.63 goals after the break and scores at least once after halftime in 88% of matches (AVG_2hg_away 1.63, over05_2hg_percentage_away 88), whereas Gwangju scores only 0.38 goals after halftime. Although the home xG is slightly higher (xG 1.45 vs 1.32 for Pohang), the difference in shot conversion (4% for Gwangju vs 13% for Pohang) and recent form over the last five matches (0% wins for Gwangju vs 60% for Pohang) support the view that the outcome will be decided after the break in favor of the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gwangju | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pohang Steelers is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Gwangju · 2 pts / game - Pohang Steelers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pohang Steelers is 88% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Gwangju · 0.94 goals / game - Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers is 170% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.38 goals / game - Gwangju · 0.88 goals / game - Pohang Steelers
Gwangju scores in 31% of games (5 of 16 meczów), while Pohang Steelers keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
Pohang Steelers scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gwangju
Over / Under - Pohang Steelers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pohang Steelers is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Gwangju · 1.06 pts / game - Pohang Steelers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gwangju - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Pohang Steelers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gwangju
Pohang Steelers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Gwangju | Liga | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.88 | 2.30 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 49% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gwangju's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Pohang Steelers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?
The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 0:3 Pohang Steelers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gwangju and Pohang Steelers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 1, Pohang Steelers won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?
Gwangju score 0.50 goals per game on average and Pohang Steelers 0.94. The K League 1 average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Gwangju's matches and 31% of Pohang Steelers's.
What form are Gwangju and Pohang Steelers in?
Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Pohang Steelers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.