Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 27 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
10Shots7
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target4
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.52xG1.39
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
6Corners3
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
104Dangerous attacks92
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
9Fouls14
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.82Goals scored / match0.79
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.92Goals conceded / match1.21
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
46%Average possession49%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2.05Shots on target / match2.29
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.08Shots per match7.26
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2.05Shots on target2.29
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
13.4%Shot conversion10.9%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
46%Possession49%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.04xG for1.12
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.34xG against1.2
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingArba Minch Kenema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Arba Minch Kenema
WWLLL
Season result split
18% W37% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-14-17
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-7-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)30
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
35Goals conceded (season)46
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.74Average goals in match2
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)5
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal53%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
11%2 goals26%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal71%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
24%2 goals32%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3%3 goals16%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Arba Minch Kenema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time11%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
5%Scored in both halves16%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
24% leading34% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.05
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.03
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
55%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
63%No goal before half-time66%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
66%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
63%No goal after half-time66%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
9
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
2
4
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaArba Minch Kenema
Average goals in match 1.741.78 2.00
Both teams scored 47%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 29%
Clean sheets 34%40% 29%
Goal before half-time 63%56% 71%
Goal after half-time 55%59% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Arba Minch Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.