Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hadiya Hosaena played against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on May 19, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Hadiya Hosaena has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.25 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 59% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 47%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 1.02 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 5.7 shots per game, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Ethiopia Nigd Bank, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena holds a slight form edge: in the last 5 matches they average 1.6 points per game (record 2-2-1), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank averages 1.4 points per game (2-1-2). Home advantage is also supported by marginally higher xG and attacking metrics at home — home xG is 1.07 versus 1.04 for the visitors, average shots 6.31 vs 5.75 and shots on target 2.38 vs 2.31, and hosts score on average 1.00 goals at home versus 0.94 for the away team. Conversely, the visitors have a better season tally (40 goals scored vs 28 for the hosts), but their away efficiency remains low and they draw as many as 50% of their away games, which increases the risk of a shared point. Defensively both teams are similar — they concede an average of 1.31 goals per game, with xG against of 1.35 (hosts) and 1.29 (guests), so I expect a low-scoring, tight contest. Considering the hosts' form advantage and slight xG edge combined with the visitors' high propensity to draw, I tip a home victory, with a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators favor both teams scoring: Hadiya Hosaena has 50% of matches with both teams scoring, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 69%, signaling well above the league level of 41%. Both sides also concede regularly — home side averages 1.06 goals conceded per match, visitors 1.31 — and score on average 1.56 and 0.94 goals respectively, so conditions for mutual scoring are present. Additionally, xG is 1.22 for the hosts versus 1.04 for the visitors, and shots on target are 3.2 vs 2.31 per match, showing the hosts create more chances but the visitors have sufficient xG and have scored 40 goals this season. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40% and Hadiya conceded on average 0.6 goals versus 1.0 for the visitors, which slightly offsets the home advantage, yet the seasonal signal dominates (50% vs 69%). On this basis I assign a 65% probability to BTTS - Yes and 35% to No, recommending the "Yes" selection as most likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis: the home side has xG_for 1.22 and the visitors xG_against 1.29, giving expected home goals ≈ (1.22+1.29)/2 = 1.26; similarly visitors ≈ (1.04+1.13)/2 = 1.09, total ≈ 2.35 goals. With this mean a Poisson distribution yields probability of over 1.5 goals ≈ 68%, over 2.5 ≈ 42% and over 3.5 ≈ 21%, clearly favoring at least two strikes. Seasonal stats support this: Over 1.5 occurred for the home team in 81% of matches and for the visitors in 75%, while Over 2.5 is 50% for homes and 44% for guests. Additionally, homes average 7.4 shots and 3.2 on target with 20% conversion, visitors 5.75 shots and 2.31 on target with 16% conversion, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals despite the home side’s lower recent form in the last 5 matches (0.8 goals vs 1.0 for visitors). Considering xG (1.26 vs 1.09), high seasonal Over 1.5 rates (81%/75%) and shot metrics, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a home advantage: average goals per season 1.56 versus 0.94 for away teams, and higher xG 1.22 vs 1.04, with more shots 7.4 vs 5.75 and more shots on target 3.2 vs 2.31. At half-time, home teams led in 7 matches (44%) while away teams led in only 1 (6%), with average first-half goals 0.63 for hosts and 0.31 for visitors, which strongly supports a home lead at the break. Over the full season, home teams win 50% of matches compared to 13% for away teams, and hosts concede on average 1.06 goals per match versus 1.31 for opponents, so holding a lead is more likely than relinquishing it. Based on these figures the strongest scenario is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time; therefore I recommend the 1/1 HT/FT (Home/Home) selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hadiya Hosaena is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.25 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Hadiya Hosaena is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.19 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.16 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.88 | 1.80 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Hadiya Hosaena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 59% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


