Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of October 21, 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hadiya Hosaena plays Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026.

Recent form

Hadiya Hosaena has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.50 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Fasil Ketema scores 0.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 50% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 0%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 6% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 0.00 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes -1.0 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 7.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.28 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 6% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0.5Goals scored / game0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
1Goals allowed / game0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
-1%Average possession51%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
-1Shots on target / game2
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

-1Shots per game7.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
-1Shots on target2
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
-50%Shot conversion6.7%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
-1%Possession51%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0xG for1.19
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0xG against1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: BalancedFasil Ketema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)0%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.000.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fasil Ketema is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.5 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / game - Fasil Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena
LD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%
Fasil Ketema
DD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fasil Ketema is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.5 goals / game - Fasil Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: mixed

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: very strong

Fasil Ketema scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

1Goals scored (season)1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
2Goals conceded (season)1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
1.5Average goals per game1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
1Goals scored (last 5)1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
2Goals conceded (last 5)1
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
50%BTTS - last 550%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Fasil Ketema - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per game (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
100%No goal before half-time100%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)2
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
1Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
50%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema
50%No goal after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaFasil Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.501.00
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.5
Average goals per game0.51.0
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Fasil Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.502.00
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.0
Average goals per game0.50.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaFasil Ketema
Average goals per game▲ 1.501.28▼ 1.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%33%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%6%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%42%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%39%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%61%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.28
Average goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
6%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
0.44
Home goals / game
0.83
Away goals / game
+-47%
Home attack advantage
+-89%
Home defensive advantage
+-33%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
39%
1 goal
0%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Hadiya Hosaena's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fasil Ketema. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Hadiya Hosaena and Fasil Ketema play?

Hadiya Hosaena face Fasil Ketema on October 24, 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hadiya Hosaena and Fasil Ketema?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hadiya Hosaena won 1, Fasil Ketema won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.50 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 6% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 50% of Fasil Ketema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Fasil Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

The statistical background for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.