Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents decidedly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 56% win rate on the road, while Hadiya Hosaena ranks 14th with just 25% wins at home. The visiting team has the advantage in key parameters: an average of 1.67 goals per away match versus 1.13 for the hosts at home, better shot conversion (19% vs 18%), and dominance in possession (58% vs 48%). Mekelakeya has a positive goal difference away (+7), while the hosts have a negative balance in home matches (-2). The form of the last five meetings also favors the visitors (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 for the hosts), and their defense is much more solid with 44% clean sheets away. Considering all indicators, Mekelakeya is the clear favorite for this meeting.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hadiya Hosaena played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 4, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Hadiya Hosaena has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Mekelakeya has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.12. Mekelakeya scores 1.26 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 42% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 32%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.07 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 6.1 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents decidedly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 56% win rate on the road, while Hadiya Hosaena ranks 14th with just 25% wins at home. The visiting team has the advantage in key parameters: an average of 1.67 goals per away match versus 1.13 for the hosts at home, better shot conversion (19% vs 18%), and dominance in possession (58% vs 48%). Mekelakeya has a positive goal difference away (+7), while the hosts have a negative balance in home matches (-2). The form of the last five meetings also favors the visitors (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 for the hosts), and their defense is much more solid with 44% clean sheets away. Considering all indicators, Mekelakeya is the clear favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.8 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.26 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.84 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.68 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.00 | 1.70 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 41% | • 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa Beshah
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.88 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.26. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 42% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mekelakeya 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.