Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 17 July 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics

Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Expect a tight, low-scoring duel: Hadiya averages 1.00 goals per home match with xG 1.11, while Mekelle on the road scores only 0.64 goals per match with xG 1.12. Mekelle’s key advantage is their away defense — just 0.79 conceded goals per match and 50% clean sheets, whereas Hadiya concede 1.43 at home and have only a 7% clean sheet rate. Hadiya, however, convert chances better at home (shot conversion 16% vs 10% for Mekelle) and are less likely to finish goalless (29% of matches without scoring vs 64% for the visitors), giving the hosts potential for a solitary goal. In the last 5 matches hosts averaged 1.0 point per game and visitors 1.4, but Mekelle’s away scoring is only 0.64, so form advantage is moderate. Considering the visitors’ stable defense (0.79 conceded and 50% clean sheets) and the hosts’ higher home efficiency (1.00 goal and 16% conversion), the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
7Shots6
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3Shots on target1
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.93xG0.72
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3Corners2
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
37Dangerous attacks35
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
16Fouls12
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.82Goals scored / match0.79
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.92Goals conceded / match0.95
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
46%Average possession49%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
2.05Shots on target / match2.42
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.08Shots per match6.37
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
2.05Shots on target2.42
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
13.4%Shot conversion12.4%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
46%Possession49%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
1.04xG for1.1
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
1.34xG against1.17
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingMekelle Kenema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Mekelle Kenema
DDDLW
Season result split
21% W45% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-17-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)30
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
35Goals conceded (season)36
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
1.74Average goals in match1.74
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal53%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
11%2 goals21%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3%3 goals5%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal61%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
24%2 goals26%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3%3 goals8%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time11%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
5%Scored in both halves16%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 50%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelle Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.16
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.76
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
55%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
63%No goal before half-time68%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
66%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema
63%No goal after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaMekelle Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 1.741.78 1.74
Both teams scored 47%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 34%
Clean sheets 34%40% 39%
Goal before half-time 63%56% 55%
Goal after half-time 55%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.