Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hadiya Hosaena played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 7, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Hadiya Hosaena has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.63 goals per game and allows 1.00. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.88 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 1.78 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 38%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Negele Arsi Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.11 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 6.9 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.78 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Shots6
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
2Shots on target2
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.1xG1.06
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Corners7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
96Dangerous attacks74
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
9Fouls14
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Goals scored / game0.88
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals allowed / game0.88
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
46%Average possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.75Shots on target / game2.38
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.88Shots per game7.5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.75Shots on target2.38
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
9.1%Shot conversion11.7%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
46%Possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.11xG for1.14
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.18xG against1.22
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: BalancedNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)25%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.8 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena
LDWDL
Season result split
13% W50% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema
DDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
25% W50% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-2
1.25 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

0.63 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.88 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.88 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
8Goals conceded (season)7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.63Average goals per game1.75
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
25%2 goals25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 8 meczów
41%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
60%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

38%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per game (1st half)1
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
38%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
63%No goal before half-time75%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
75%No goal after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

13% W63% R25% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.40.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.01.6
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.69
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals per game 1.631.78 1.75
Both teams scored 50%41% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%28% 38%
Clean sheets 38%38% 38%
Goal before half-time 75%56% 25%
Goal after half-time 38%60% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / game
0.87
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.63 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.88. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.