Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a -3 goal difference, although their last 5 matches overall brought an improvement (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema stands out for their stability with 40% away draws and a solid defense (40% clean sheets), while their recent form is 4 draws and 1 win in 5 matches. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.12 vs 1.15) and a comparable average of goals per game (around 1.0), which further confirms the balance of power. Ball possession at 47% vs 46% and similar shot conversion rates (16% vs 14%) point to a tightly contested rivalry. Given the visitors' tendency to draw and the hosts' difficulties in winning at home, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hadiya Hosaena played against Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Hadiya Hosaena has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Sheger Ketema has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 and allows 0.91. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 45% of Sheger Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 27%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sheger Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.06 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 5.9 shots per game, while Sheger Ketema takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Sheger Ketema, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a -3 goal difference, although their last 5 matches overall brought an improvement (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema stands out for their stability with 40% away draws and a solid defense (40% clean sheets), while their recent form is 4 draws and 1 win in 5 matches. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.12 vs 1.15) and a comparable average of goals per game (around 1.0), which further confirms the balance of power. Ball possession at 47% vs 46% and similar shot conversion rates (16% vs 14%) point to a tightly contested rivalry. Given the visitors' tendency to draw and the hosts' difficulties in winning at home, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hadiya Hosaena is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.91 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
Sheger Ketema scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.14 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.87 | 1.76 | • 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 41% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 30% | 27% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 58% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Hadiya Hosaena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Sheger Ketema. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:2 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.87 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.86. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 45% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.