Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 08, 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie: match statistics

135%(2.12)
X35%(2.75)
230%(3.39)

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only 17% wins at home and a negative goal difference (-3), however, their last five matches overall show a decided improvement (3 wins). Shire Endaselassie has a better away record (33% wins, +2 goal difference) and a higher average of shots on target (3.17 vs 2), but their recent overall form is weak (0.8 points per match). Both teams have identical possession (47%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting a tactical balance. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (33%) and the even offensive and defensive statistics, the most probable result is a sharing of points.

Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hadiya Hosaena played against Shire Endaselassie in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Hadiya Hosaena has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Shire Endaselassie has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.00. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.79 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 1.69 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 29% of Shire Endaselassie's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 21%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hadiya Hosaena has the higher season xG average, 1.11 to 1.00 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 6.2 shots per game, while Shire Endaselassie takes 5.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Shire Endaselassie leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Shire Endaselassie, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.69 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only 17% wins at home and a negative goal difference (-3), however, their last five matches overall show a decided improvement (3 wins). Shire Endaselassie has a better away record (33% wins, +2 goal difference) and a higher average of shots on target (3.17 vs 2), but their recent overall form is weak (0.8 points per match). Both teams have identical possession (47%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting a tactical balance. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (33%) and the even offensive and defensive statistics, the most probable result is a sharing of points.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
8Shots7
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
4Shots on target3
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.98xG0.9
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
5Corners1
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
26Dangerous attacks33
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
13Fouls14
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.79Goals scored / game0.79
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1Goals allowed / game0.71
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
46%Average possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.93Shots on target / game2.5
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.21Shots per game5.86
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.93Shots on target2.5
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
12.6%Shot conversion13.4%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
46%Possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.11xG for1
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.2xG against1.21
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingShire Endaselassie: Counter-attacking
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
Accuracy (shots on target)31%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hadiya Hosaena is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.8 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie

Hadiya Hosaena
WWWLD
Season result split
29% W36% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-5
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Shire Endaselassie
DLLWL
Season result split
29% W36% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-5
1.21 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shire Endaselassie is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.71 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: mixed

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).

Shire Endaselassie scoring profile: mixed

Shire Endaselassie scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).

11Goals scored (season)11
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
14Goals conceded (season)10
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.79Average goals per game1.5
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal50%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
14%2 goals21%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%3 goals7%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal57%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
29%2 goals14%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
7%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

29%
Shire Endaselassie - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 14 meczów
42%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time14%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%Scored in both halves21%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
40%BTTS - last 520%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

2nd half

43%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shire Endaselassie is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.5 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing
Shire Endaselassie - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per game (1st half)1.5
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
1.14Average goals (1st half)0.86
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
43%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
57%No goal before half-time57%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.21
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
0.64Average goals (2nd half)0.64
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
71%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie
79%No goal after half-time71%
Hadiya HosaenaShire Endaselassie

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Shire Endaselassie - second-half results

21% W57% R21% P
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Shire Endaselassie - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.80.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Shire Endaselassie
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Shire Endaselassie

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaShire Endaselassie
Average goals per game 1.791.69 1.50
Both teams scored 50%42% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%26% 21%
Clean sheets 36%40% 43%
Goal before half-time 79%55% 57%
Goal after half-time 43%56% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.69
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.83
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 3:1 Shire Endaselassie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shire Endaselassie 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 29% of Shire Endaselassie's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Shire Endaselassie in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Shire Endaselassie 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.