Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 08, 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics

155%(2.35)
X30%(2.75)
215%(3.10)

Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.

Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hadiya Hosaena played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Hadiya Hosaena has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.93 goals per game and allows 1.00. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.53 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's games and 41% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 24%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hadiya Hosaena has the higher season xG average, 1.10 to 0.97 per game. Hadiya Hosaena takes 6.3 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.18 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hadiya Hosaena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Shots11
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2Shots on target7
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.18xG1.7
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Corners3
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
89Dangerous attacks70
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
14Fouls17
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.93Goals scored / game0.53
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1Goals allowed / game1.18
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
46%Average possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.07Shots on target / game2.06
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.33Shots per game5.24
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.07Shots on target2.06
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
14.7%Shot conversion10.1%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
46%Possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.1xG for0.97
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.18xG against1.06
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingWelwalo Adigrat Uni: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Accuracy (shots on target)33%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hadiya Hosaena is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena
WWLDW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
12% W41% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-7-8
0.76 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-5-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.72Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 75% better for: goals scored per game.

0.93 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.53 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.18 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: mixed

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).

14Goals scored (season)9
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
15Goals conceded (season)20
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.93Average goals per game1.71
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Goals scored (last 5)2
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal47%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
20%2 goals6%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal71%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
27%2 goals35%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7%3 goals6%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals6%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

41%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 17 meczów
42%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7%Scored in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
40%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

2nd half

47%Min. 1 goal after half-time41%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.12 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
20% leading47% draw33% trailing
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
18% leading59% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per game (1st half)1.12
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.82
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
40%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
53%No goal before half-time65%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per game (2nd half)0.82
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.18
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.73Average goals (2nd half)0.76
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
73%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
73%No goal after half-time88%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

20% W53% R27% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

6% W65% R29% P
19
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.60.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
7
0-15
3
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.82
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Average goals per game 1.931.76 1.71
Both teams scored 53%42% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%28% 24%
Clean sheets 33%40% 29%
Goal before half-time 80%57% 59%
Goal after half-time 47%57% 41%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.93 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.53. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 41% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.