Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics

155%(2.35)
X30%(2.75)
215%(3.10)

Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.

Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena play Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 11:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.04 vs 1.03. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
6Shots11
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2Shots on target7
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.18xG1.7
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Corners3
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
89Dangerous attacks70
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
14Fouls17
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.82Goals scored / match0.82
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.92Goals conceded / match0.97
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
46%Average possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.05Shots on target / match2.05
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.08Shots per match5.74
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
2.05Shots on target2.05
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
13.4%Shot conversion14.3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
46%Possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.04xG for1.03
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.34xG against1.1
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingWelwalo Adigrat Uni: Counter-attacking
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DDLWD
Season result split
26% W41% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-13
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-10-4
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: strong

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)32
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
35Goals conceded (season)38
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
1.74Average goals in match1.79
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal59%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
11%2 goals18%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%3 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal64%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
24%2 goals28%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%3 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%4 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 39 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time23%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
5%Scored in both halves10%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
40%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
21% leading59% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.21
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.95
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
55%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
63%No goal before half-time56%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.1
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.79
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
66%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
63%No goal after half-time74%
Hadiya HosaenaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

15% W64% R21% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.20.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
5
12
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
1
4
46-60
6
9
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Average goals in match 1.741.78 1.79
Both teams scored 47%40% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 31%
Clean sheets 34%40% 36%
Goal before half-time 63%56% 64%
Goal after half-time 55%59% 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.