Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Hajduk Split presents a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 62% of their home matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (+9). The home side averages 1.62 goals per game at their stadium with only an 8% failure-to-score rate, evidencing an effective offense supported by high ball possession (60%). Lokomotiva Zagreb is performing very poorly on the road, winning just 8% of their away matches and conceding a steep average of 1.92 goals per game without keeping a single clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also leans in favor of the hosts: 1.85 for Hajduk compared to 1.31 for Lokomotiva, and the visitors' negative goal difference (-12) in away matches confirms their defensive issues. Lokomotiva's poor form in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and the fact that Hajduk is currently 2nd in the table further justify the predicted home win.
Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hajduk Split played against Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Hajduk Split has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hajduk Split scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 0.96. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.20 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Hajduk Split's games and 72% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 44%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hajduk Split has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.37 per game. Hajduk Split takes 15.0 shots per game, while Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Hajduk Split leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hajduk Split's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Lokomotiva Zagreb, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hajduk Split presents a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 62% of their home matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (+9). The home side averages 1.62 goals per game at their stadium with only an 8% failure-to-score rate, evidencing an effective offense supported by high ball possession (60%). Lokomotiva Zagreb is performing very poorly on the road, winning just 8% of their away matches and conceding a steep average of 1.92 goals per game without keeping a single clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also leans in favor of the hosts: 1.85 for Hajduk compared to 1.31 for Lokomotiva, and the visitors' negative goal difference (-12) in away matches confirms their defensive issues. Lokomotiva's poor form in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and the fact that Hajduk is currently 2nd in the table further justify the predicted home win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hajduk Split | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hajduk Split is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hajduk Split · 1.4 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Hajduk Split · 1.2 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Hajduk Split · 1.52 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Hajduk Split · 1.28 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 28%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hajduk Split
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Hajduk Split | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 2.68 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 25% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hajduk Split's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lokomotiva Zagreb. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Hajduk Split 2:1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 2, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split score 1.48 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.20. The Prva HNL average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Hajduk Split's matches and 72% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.