Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen appears to be the favorite despite playing away. The visitors boast a significantly better season record (12 wins compared to Hamburg's 6) and superior scoring efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 11% for the hosts). A key factor is Leverkusen's dominance in possession (58% vs 46% HSV) and better recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Hamburger SV holds the home advantage and a positive home goal difference (+4); however, Leverkusen displays higher quality, evidenced by their 6th place standing against the hosts' 11th. Considering all statistics, Bayer Leverkusen has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamburger SV played against Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bayer Leverkusen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamburger SV scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.48. Bayer Leverkusen scores 1.91 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Hamburger SV's games and 57% of Bayer Leverkusen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 57%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayer Leverkusen has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.41 per game. Hamburger SV takes 12.9 shots per game, while Bayer Leverkusen takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Bayer Leverkusen leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamburger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Bayer Leverkusen, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen appears to be the favorite despite playing away. The visitors boast a significantly better season record (12 wins compared to Hamburg's 6) and superior scoring efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 11% for the hosts). A key factor is Leverkusen's dominance in possession (58% vs 46% HSV) and better recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Hamburger SV holds the home advantage and a positive home goal difference (+4); however, Leverkusen displays higher quality, evidenced by their 6th place standing against the hosts' 11th. Considering all statistics, Bayer Leverkusen has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 69% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.91 goals / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.26 goals / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 1.7 pts / game - Bayer Leverkusen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 3.18 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 0:1 Bayer Leverkusen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hamburger SV score 1.13 goals per game on average and Bayer Leverkusen 1.91. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Hamburger SV's matches and 57% of Bayer Leverkusen's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayer Leverkusen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The statistical background for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.