Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this match, a fact confirmed by all available statistics. The Bavarians hold the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, while Hamburger SV sits in 14th place with a 4-6-8 record. Bayern's away form shows dominance with an 89% win rate, averaging 3.56 goals per game and not registering a single match without a goal scored (FTS% 0%). Hamburger SV has failed to win any of its last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), and its home form shows only a 44% win rate. The quality gap between the teams is enormous – Bayern has a +25 goal difference away from home, while HSV is only +4 at home. Considering the advantage in possession (67% vs 47%), shot accuracy (19% vs 10%), and the higher xG (2.29 vs 1.63), Bayern should secure a comfortable victory.
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamburger SV played against Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Hamburger SV has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Bayern München has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamburger SV scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.50. Bayern München scores 3.79 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's games and 58% of Bayern München's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 100%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.31 to 1.43 per game. Hamburger SV takes 13.1 shots per game, while Bayern München takes 19.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bayern München leads at halftime in 63% and scores 2.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamburger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Bayern München, it is minutes 76-90+ (24 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this match, a fact confirmed by all available statistics. The Bavarians hold the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, while Hamburger SV sits in 14th place with a 4-6-8 record. Bayern's away form shows dominance with an 89% win rate, averaging 3.56 goals per game and not registering a single match without a goal scored (FTS% 0%). Hamburger SV has failed to win any of its last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), and its home form shows only a 44% win rate. The quality gap between the teams is enormous – Bayern has a +25 goal difference away from home, while HSV is only +4 at home. Considering the advantage in possession (67% vs 47%), shot accuracy (19% vs 10%), and the higher xG (2.29 vs 1.63), Bayern should secure a comfortable victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bayern München is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 2.4 pts / game - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 303% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 3.79 goals / game - Bayern München
Bayern München is 79% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 0.84 goals / game - Bayern München
Hamburger SV scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
Bayern München scores in 100% of games (19 of 19 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 2.21 pts / game - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 84%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +13 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamburger SV
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hamburger SV's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bayern München. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 2:2 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
Hamburger SV score 0.94 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.79. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's matches and 58% of Bayern München's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Bayern München 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.