Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig: match statistics
RB Leipzig appears as the clear favorite of this match despite poorer form in their last five games. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 45% away win rate, while Hamburger SV is only in 11th position. Leipzig dominates in terms of ball possession (53% vs 46%) and offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per match overall this season compared to the hosts' 1.14. Hamburger SV has a negative goal difference (-7 overall), and their home form shows only a 45% win rate with an 18% loss rate. Another key factor is the quality of the squads – Leipzig is a team fighting for top positions, while HSV is in the middle of the table. Considering all statistics, I predict an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Hamburg's home advantage.
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hamburger SV played against RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. RB Leipzig has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Hamburger SV scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.45. RB Leipzig scores 1.91 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Hamburger SV's games and 57% of RB Leipzig's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 65%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
RB Leipzig has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.43 per game. Hamburger SV takes 13.2 shots per game, while RB Leipzig takes 16.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. RB Leipzig leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hamburger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For RB Leipzig, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RB Leipzig appears as the clear favorite of this match despite poorer form in their last five games. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 45% away win rate, while Hamburger SV is only in 11th position. Leipzig dominates in terms of ball possession (53% vs 46%) and offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per match overall this season compared to the hosts' 1.14. Hamburger SV has a negative goal difference (-7 overall), and their home form shows only a 45% win rate with an 18% loss rate. Another key factor is the quality of the squads – Leipzig is a team fighting for top positions, while HSV is in the middle of the table. Considering all statistics, I predict an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Hamburg's home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hamburger SV is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 1.2 pts / game - RB Leipzig
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RB Leipzig is 68% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.91 goals / game - RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
RB Leipzig scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RB Leipzig is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 1.74 pts / game - RB Leipzig
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.59 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Hamburger SV's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against RB Leipzig. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 1:2 RB Leipzig. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Hamburger SV score 1.14 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 1.91. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Hamburger SV's matches and 57% of RB Leipzig's.
What form are Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and RB Leipzig 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.