Germany - BundesligaVolksparkstadionData current as of October 14, 2026

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hamburger SV plays Stuttgart in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Volksparkstadion.

Recent form

Hamburger SV has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Stuttgart has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Hamburger SV scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 3.00. Stuttgart scores 1.60 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Hamburger SV's games and 60% of Stuttgart's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 60%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Stuttgart has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.16 per game. Hamburger SV takes 10.6 shots per game, while Stuttgart takes 15.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Stuttgart leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hamburger SV's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Stuttgart, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.82 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.16)
(4.08)
(1.89)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hamburger SVStuttgart
1Goals scored / game1.6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3Goals allowed / game1.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
41%Average possession52%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3.8Shots on target / game6
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.6Shots per game15.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3.8Shots on target6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
9.4%Shot conversion10.1%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
41%Possession52%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.16xG for1.77
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.93xG against2
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Shooting quality

Hamburger SV: BalancedStuttgart: Attacking
Hamburger SVStuttgart
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamburger SV
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Stuttgart
LWLLW
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stuttgart is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.6 goals / game - Stuttgart

Stuttgart is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

3 goals / game - Hamburger SV · 1.8 goals / game - Stuttgart

Hamburger SV scoring profile: mixed

Hamburger SV scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Stuttgart scoring profile: very strong

Stuttgart scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

5Goals scored (season)8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
15Goals conceded (season)9
Hamburger SVStuttgart
4Average goals per game3.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
15Goals conceded (last 5)9
Hamburger SVStuttgart

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%2 goals40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%3 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0%4 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%2 goals40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%3 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%4 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%Scored in both halves40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%BTTS - last 560%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stuttgart is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - Hamburger SV · 1.4 pts / game - Stuttgart

Hamburger SV - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Stuttgart - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.8Average goals (1st half)0.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%No goal before half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
2.2Average goals (2nd half)2.6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%No goal after half-time20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Hamburger SV - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Stuttgart - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamburger SV - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.41.6
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stuttgart - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.4
Average goals per game0.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Stuttgart
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
204%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Stuttgart

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Hamburger SVLigaStuttgart
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.82▼ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 40%60%• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%78%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%87%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.82
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.36
Home goals / game
1.47
Away goals / game
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
49%
3 goals
22%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Hamburger SV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Stuttgart. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do Hamburger SV and Stuttgart play?

Hamburger SV face Stuttgart on October 17, 2026 in Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Stuttgart?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamburger SV won 1, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV score 1.00 goals per game on average and Stuttgart 1.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Hamburger SV's matches and 60% of Stuttgart's.

What form are Hamburger SV and Stuttgart in?

Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Stuttgart 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.